National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
US Rumelange
vs
AS Jeunesse Esch
2 – 5 Full time
US Rumelange
50%
Draw
26%
AS Jeunesse Esch
24%
US Rumelange vs AS Jeunesse Esch overview
Garuda Lions analysis: US Rumelange vs AS Jeunesse Esch
| Probability | US Rumelange | Draw | AS Jeunesse Esch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 26.4% | 23.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.1% | 26.4% | 23.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why US Rumelange
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.10.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
US Rumelange and AS Jeunesse Esch expected goals
US Rumelange
1.69
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.10
Total expected goals: 2.79
US Rumelange and AS Jeunesse Esch attack and defence ratings
US Rumelange
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.13 +13%
AS Jeunesse Esch
Attack
0.71 -29%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
US Rumelange vs AS Jeunesse Esch: result vs prediction
US Rumelange 2 – 5 AS Jeunesse Esch
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Victoria Rosport
- UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Swift Hesperange — team news & stats
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn
- US Hostert v FC Differdange 03 — match page
- Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange — team news & stats
- Wiltz vs F91 Dudelange
- UNA Strassen v Atert Bissen — match page
Before and after this match
US Rumelange vs AS Jeunesse Esch markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Rumelange | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Rumelange | 50.1% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| AS Jeunesse Esch | 23.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% |
| No | 44.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | US Rumelange win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.2% |
US Rumelange vs AS Jeunesse Esch stats
US Rumelange and AS Jeunesse Esch recent form
| US Rumelange |
LWLW |
| AS Jeunesse Esch |
LLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
US Rumelange and AS Jeunesse Esch going into this match
US Rumelange record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
AS Jeunesse Esch record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.