AS Jeunesse Esch
vs
Wiltz
5 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | K. Schmitz | ||
| 59′ | S. Turping | ||
| 65′ | K. Schmitz | ||
| 78′ | Y. Mouadden | ||
| 81′ | T. Maquart | ||
| 84′ | L. Franco |
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Wiltz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AS Jeunesse Esch vs Wiltz
| Probability | AS Jeunesse Esch | Draw | Wiltz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.1% | 24.4% | 33.5% |
| Market | 42.6% | 25.4% | 32.0% |
| Final | 42.5% | 25.2% | 32.4% |
| Edge | -0.5% | -1.0% | +1.5% |
Why AS Jeunesse Esch
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AS Jeunesse Esch and Wiltz expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
AS Jeunesse Esch and Wiltz attack and defence ratings
AS Jeunesse Esch
Wiltz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Wiltz: result vs prediction
AS Jeunesse Esch 5 – 1 Wiltz
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Wiltz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 42.5% | 2.35 | -0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 42.5% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Wiltz | 32.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% |
| No | 32.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | AS Jeunesse Esch win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 58.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Wiltz stats
AS Jeunesse Esch and Wiltz recent form
| AS Jeunesse Esch |
WLLLLW |
| Wiltz |
LLLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AS Jeunesse Esch and Wiltz going into this match
AS Jeunesse Esch record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Wiltz record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Wiltz head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-19 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Wiltz | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-27 | Wiltz | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 2-3 |
| 2024-02-11 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Wiltz | National Division | 5-2 |
| 2023-08-13 | Wiltz | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 0-1 |
| 2023-02-26 | Wiltz | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 3-2 |
| 2022-10-30 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Wiltz | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-28 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Wiltz | National Division | 1-0 |
| 2022-02-06 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Wiltz | National Division | 1-0 |
| 2021-08-14 | Wiltz | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 2-0 |
| 2021-04-24 | Wiltz | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Wiltz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.6%, draw 25.4%, away 32.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.54 | 2.86 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.54 | 2.81 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.71 | 2.87 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .