National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Wiltz
vs
Progres Niederkorn
1 – 2 Full time
| 15′ | S. Hadji | ||
| 60′ | S. Hadji | ||
| 81′ | C. Schroeder |
Wiltz
24%
Draw
23%
Progres Niederkorn
54%
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn
| Probability | Wiltz | Draw | Progres Niederkorn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.7% | 22.5% | 53.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.7% | 22.5% | 53.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Progres Niederkorn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
68%
No goals
4%
Wiltz and Progres Niederkorn expected goals
Wiltz
1.39
Progres Niederkorn
2.12
Total expected goals: 3.51
Wiltz and Progres Niederkorn attack and defence ratings
Wiltz
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
1.43 +43%
Progres Niederkorn
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn: result vs prediction
Wiltz 1 – 2 Progres Niederkorn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- UN Kaerjeng 97 v Victoria Rosport — match page
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs AS Jeunesse Esch — team news & stats
- US Hostert vs F91 Dudelange
- Etzella Ettelbruck v FC Differdange 03 — match page
- US Rumelange v Atert Bissen — match page
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs UNA Strassen — team news & stats
- Swift Hesperange vs Résidence Walferdange — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Progres Niederkorn | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wiltz | 23.7% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Progres Niederkorn | 53.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% |
| No | 33.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Progres Niederkorn win | 32.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 46.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-2 | 6.8% |
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn stats
Wiltz and Progres Niederkorn recent form
| Wiltz |
LLLLWD |
| Progres Niederkorn |
WLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wiltz and Progres Niederkorn going into this match
Wiltz record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
Progres Niederkorn record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Wiltz wins
1Draws
8Progres Niederkorn wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Wiltz | Progres Niederkorn | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Wiltz | Progres Niederkorn | Cup | 3-2 |
| 2025-03-16 | Progres Niederkorn | Wiltz | National Division | 3-1 |
| 2024-09-21 | Wiltz | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-30 | Progres Niederkorn | Wiltz | National Division | 3-0 |
| 2023-09-27 | Wiltz | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 2-2 |
| 2023-03-05 | Progres Niederkorn | Wiltz | National Division | 3-0 |
| 2022-09-04 | Wiltz | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 1-2 |
| 2022-05-15 | Progres Niederkorn | Wiltz | National Division | 2-1 |
| 2021-12-11 | Wiltz | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 17.0%, draw 23.5%, away 59.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.47 | 3.88 | 1.45 |
| Bet365 | 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| Marathonbet | 6.35 | 3.90 | 1.43 |
| Pinnacle | 4.43 | 3.90 | 1.64 |