Atert Bissen
vs
Wiltz
4 – 2 Full time
Atert Bissen vs Wiltz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atert Bissen vs Wiltz
| Probability | Atert Bissen | Draw | Wiltz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.7% | 16.5% | 14.8% |
| Market | 76.7% | 14.9% | 8.5% |
| Final | 74.7% | 15.3% | 10.0% |
| Edge | -7.9% | +1.6% | +6.3% |
Why Atert Bissen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.93 vs 1.38.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atert Bissen and Wiltz expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.31
Atert Bissen and Wiltz attack and defence ratings
Atert Bissen
Wiltz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atert Bissen vs Wiltz: result vs prediction
Atert Bissen 4 – 2 Wiltz
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Atert Bissen vs Wiltz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atert Bissen | 74.7% | 1.34 | -7.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Atert Bissen win | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atert Bissen | 74.7% |
| Draw | 15.3% | |
| Wiltz | 10.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% |
| No | 28.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atert Bissen win | 49.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 31.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.0% |
| 3-1 | 7.8% | |
| 1-1 | 6.0% |
Atert Bissen vs Wiltz stats
Atert Bissen and Wiltz recent form
| Atert Bissen |
WLLWLW |
| Wiltz |
LLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atert Bissen and Wiltz going into this match
Atert Bissen record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Wiltz record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
Atert Bissen vs Wiltz head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Atert Bissen vs Wiltz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 76.7%, draw 14.9%, away 8.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.17 | 6.10 | 11.20 |
| Betano | 1.23 | 5.60 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 6.50 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.16 | 6.10 | 10.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21 | 6.24 | 8.98 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 5.00 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .