National Division · Full time ·Matchday 8

Victoria Rosport vs Etzella Ettelbruck

1 – 1 Full time

28′J. Pascal
59′K. Marques

Party-Rent-Arena, Rosport

Victoria Rosport 34%
Draw 25%
Etzella Ettelbruck 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Victoria Rosport vs Etzella Ettelbruck overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Victoria Rosport vs Etzella Ettelbruck

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVictoria RosportDrawEtzella Ettelbruck
Model33.8%25.2%41.0%
Market———
Final33.8%25.2%41.0%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Etzella Ettelbruck

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Victoria Rospo ↓ / Etzella Ettelb → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Victoria Rosport and Etzella Ettelbruck expected goals

Victoria Rosport 1.54
Etzella Ettelbruck 1.71

Total expected goals: 3.25

Victoria Rosport and Etzella Ettelbruck attack and defence ratings

Victoria Rosport

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.54 +54%

Etzella Ettelbruck

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Victoria Rosport vs Etzella Ettelbruck: result vs prediction

Victoria Rosport 1 – 1 Etzella Ettelbruck

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

National Division

Before and after this match

Victoria Rosport vs Etzella Ettelbruck markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Etzella Ettelbruck 41.0% 2.44 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.1% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.4% 1.53 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.0% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Victoria Rosport33.8%
Draw25.2%
Etzella Ettelbruck41.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.1%
Under 2.536.9%
Both teams to scoreYes65.4%
No34.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.0%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)66.2%
Handicap -1Etzella Ettelbruck win21.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss59.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
1-28.7%
2-17.9%

Victoria Rosport vs Etzella Ettelbruck stats

Victoria Rosport and Etzella Ettelbruck recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Victoria Rosport and Etzella Ettelbruck going into this match

league record before kick-off

Victoria Rosport record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Etzella Ettelbruck record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Victoria Rosport vs Etzella Ettelbruck head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Victoria Rosport wins 1Draws 4Etzella Ettelbruck wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-04-02Etzella EttelbruckVictoria RosportNational Division1-5
2022-10-16Victoria RosportEtzella EttelbruckNational Division3-1
2022-05-22Victoria RosportEtzella EttelbruckNational Division0-3
2021-08-08Etzella EttelbruckVictoria RosportNational Division1-3
2021-05-16Etzella EttelbruckVictoria RosportNational Division4-0
2021-02-28Victoria RosportEtzella EttelbruckNational Division0-3
2019-08-04Victoria RosportEtzella EttelbruckNational Division3-0
2019-03-17Etzella EttelbruckVictoria RosportNational Division0-0
2018-09-01Victoria RosportEtzella EttelbruckNational Division0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Victoria Rosport vs Etzella Ettelbruck odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.