National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Swift Hesperange
vs
Victoria Rosport
0 – 3 Full time
| 18′ | A. Goncalves | ||
| 29′ | J. Villeneuve | ||
| 78′ | B. Vogel |
Swift Hesperange
16%
Draw
21%
Victoria Rosport
64%
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport
| Probability | Swift Hesperange | Draw | Victoria Rosport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.0% | 21.0% | 62.0% |
| Market | 15.1% | 20.6% | 64.3% |
| Final | 15.5% | 20.7% | 63.7% |
| Edge | +0.5% | +0.1% | -0.6% |
Why Victoria Rosport
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
86%
3+ goals
66%
No goals
4%
Swift Hesperange and Victoria Rosport expected goals
Swift Hesperange
1.13
Victoria Rosport
2.26
Total expected goals: 3.39
Swift Hesperange and Victoria Rosport attack and defence ratings
Swift Hesperange
Attack
0.50 -50%
Defence
1.83 +83%
Victoria Rosport
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
1.44 +44%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport: result vs prediction
Swift Hesperange 0 – 3 Victoria Rosport
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange — team news & stats
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Atert Bissen
- US Rumelange v US Mondorf-les-bains — match page
- UN Kaerjeng 97 vs AS Jeunesse Esch — team news & stats
- US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn
- Etzella Ettelbruck v F91 Dudelange — match page
- Wiltz vs UNA Strassen — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Victoria Rosport | 63.7% | 1.57 | -0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Victoria Rosport win | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Swift Hesperange | 15.5% |
| Draw | 20.7% | |
| Victoria Rosport | 63.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% |
| No | 38.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Victoria Rosport win | 40.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 38.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 8.6% |
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport stats
Swift Hesperange and Victoria Rosport recent form
| Swift Hesperange |
LLLLLL |
| Victoria Rosport |
DLLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Swift Hesperange and Victoria Rosport going into this match
Swift Hesperange record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They average 0.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 8 matches.
Victoria Rosport record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6Swift Hesperange wins
4Draws
0Victoria Rosport wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Swift Hesperange | Victoria Rosport | National Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Victoria Rosport | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-08 | Victoria Rosport | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Swift Hesperange | Victoria Rosport | National Division | 5-0 |
| 2024-02-18 | Victoria Rosport | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 1-3 |
| 2023-08-20 | Swift Hesperange | Victoria Rosport | National Division | 3-2 |
| 2023-04-30 | Swift Hesperange | Victoria Rosport | National Division | 5-1 |
| 2022-11-27 | Victoria Rosport | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 0-0 |
| 2022-03-06 | Victoria Rosport | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 0-4 |
| 2021-09-18 | Swift Hesperange | Victoria Rosport | National Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.1%, draw 20.6%, away 64.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.36 | 4.30 | 1.39 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.36 |
| Betano | 5.40 | 4.45 | 1.42 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.50 | 1.33 |
| Dafabet | 6.00 | 4.50 | 1.47 |
| Marathonbet | 6.05 | 4.30 | 1.38 |
| Pinnacle | 5.71 | 4.26 | 1.47 |
| William Hill | 5.80 | 3.80 | 1.44 |