Swift Hesperange
vs
Victoria Rosport
Garuda Lions Prediction: Victoria Rosport
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport
| Probability | Swift Hesperange | Draw | Victoria Rosport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.0% | 21.0% | 62.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 17.0% | 21.0% | 62.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Victoria Rosport
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport match preview
In the upcoming National Division match, Swift Hesperange faces Victoria Rosport on October 11, 2026. The model indicates a strong likelihood of a Victoria Rosport victory at 62%, while Swift Hesperange holds a 17% chance of winning, and a draw is estimated at 21%. The expected goals for Swift Hesperange stand at 1.13, compared to 2.26 for Victoria Rosport, suggesting a potential scoreline of 1-2, which has a 10% likelihood.
Recent form highlights a challenging period for Swift Hesperange, who have lost their last six matches, while Victoria Rosport’s recent results include two draws and a win in their last five games. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 66%, and both teams scoring is at 62%, indicating an expectation for an engaging match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Swift Hesperange and Victoria Rosport expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.39
Swift Hesperange and Victoria Rosport attack and defence ratings
Swift Hesperange
Victoria Rosport
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange — team news & stats
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Atert Bissen
- US Rumelange v US Mondorf-les-bains — match page
- UN Kaerjeng 97 vs AS Jeunesse Esch — team news & stats
- US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn
- Etzella Ettelbruck v F91 Dudelange — match page
- Wiltz vs UNA Strassen — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Victoria Rosport | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Victoria Rosport win | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Swift Hesperange | 17.0% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| Victoria Rosport | 62.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% |
| No | 38.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Victoria Rosport win | 40.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 38.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 8.6% |
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport stats
Swift Hesperange and Victoria Rosport recent form
| Swift Hesperange |
LLLLLL |
| Victoria Rosport |
DLLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Swift Hesperange and Victoria Rosport season so far
Swift Hesperange record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They average 0.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 7 matches.
Victoria Rosport record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Swift Hesperange | Victoria Rosport | National Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Victoria Rosport | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.