FC Differdange 03
vs
Résidence Walferdange
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Differdange 03
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange
| Probability | FC Differdange 03 | Draw | Résidence Walferdange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.4% | 26.9% | 23.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.4% | 26.9% | 23.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Differdange 03
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange match preview
FC Differdange 03 faces Résidence Walferdange in the National Division on October 11, 2026. The model gives FC Differdange 03 a 49% chance of winning, while a draw is at 27% and Résidence Walferdange at 24%. The expected goals for FC Differdange 03 stand at 1.64, compared to 1.07 for Résidence Walferdange. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 10%.
In terms of recent form, FC Differdange 03 has won five of their last six matches, while Résidence Walferdange has a mixed record, winning three out of their last six. The probabilities suggest a competitive match, with over 2.5 goals predicted at 51% and both teams to score at 54%. The confidence grade for this analysis is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Differdange 03 and Résidence Walferdange expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
FC Differdange 03 and Résidence Walferdange attack and defence ratings
FC Differdange 03
Résidence Walferdange
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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- US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn
- Etzella Ettelbruck v F91 Dudelange — match page
- Wiltz vs UNA Strassen — team news & stats
- Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport
Before and after this match
FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 49.4% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Résidence Walferdange | 23.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% |
| No | 45.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win | 26.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 9.8% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange stats
FC Differdange 03 and Résidence Walferdange recent form
| FC Differdange 03 |
WLWWWW |
| Résidence Walferdange |
WWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Differdange 03 and Résidence Walferdange season so far
FC Differdange 03 record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Résidence Walferdange record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.