National Division · Full time ·Matchday 9

FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange

6 – 0 Full time

16′C. Jean
45′G. Franzoni
52′E. Benedict
66′L. Rauch
68′E. Benedict
83′S. Melhor

Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange, Differdange

FC Differdange 03 71%
Draw 17%
Résidence Walferdange 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC Differdange 03DrawRésidence Walferdange
Model49.4%26.9%23.6%
Market78.4%14.0%7.6%
Final71.1%17.2%11.6%
Edge-7.2%+3.2%+4.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why FC Differdange 03

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.97.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Differdange ↓ / Résidence Walf → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 11% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

FC Differdange 03 and Résidence Walferdange expected goals

FC Differdange 03 1.71
Résidence Walferdange 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.69

FC Differdange 03 and Résidence Walferdange attack and defence ratings

FC Differdange 03

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.57 -43%

Résidence Walferdange

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange: result vs prediction

FC Differdange 03 6 – 0 Résidence Walferdange

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

National Division

Before and after this match

FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Differdange 03 71.1% 1.41 -7.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.8% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.1% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.4% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.3% 2.16 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Differdange 0371.1%
Draw17.2%
Résidence Walferdange11.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.8%
Under 2.549.2%
Both teams to scoreYes54.1%
No45.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.4%
12 (either side)82.8%
X2 (draw or away)28.9%
Handicap -1FC Differdange 03 win30.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss46.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
1-09.8%
2-19.6%

FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange stats

FC Differdange 03 and Résidence Walferdange recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Differdange 03 and Résidence Walferdange going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Differdange 03 record

  • They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Résidence Walferdange record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.

FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 78.4%, draw 14.0%, away 7.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.13 6.60 12.20
Bet365 1.18 6.50 9.00
Betano 1.19 5.90 10.00
Betfair 1.13 6.50 13.00
Dafabet 1.18 7.20 12.00
Marathonbet 1.13 6.60 12.25
Pinnacle 1.17 6.93 11.08
William Hill 1.17 6.00 12.00

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.