National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Wiltz
vs
UNA Strassen
0 – 2 Full time
| 49′ | L. Toure | ||
| 55′ | V. Eysseric |
Wiltz
8%
Draw
16%
UNA Strassen
76%
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wiltz vs UNA Strassen
| Probability | Wiltz | Draw | UNA Strassen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9.2% | 17.5% | 73.3% |
| Market | 7.7% | 15.8% | 76.5% |
| Final | 8.1% | 16.3% | 75.7% |
| Edge | +0.4% | +0.4% | -0.8% |
Why UNA Strassen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
Wiltz and UNA Strassen expected goals
Wiltz
0.78
UNA Strassen
2.45
Total expected goals: 3.23
Wiltz and UNA Strassen attack and defence ratings
Wiltz
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
1.54 +54%
UNA Strassen
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.50 -50%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen: result vs prediction
Wiltz 0 – 2 UNA Strassen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange — team news & stats
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Atert Bissen
- US Rumelange v US Mondorf-les-bains — match page
- UN Kaerjeng 97 vs AS Jeunesse Esch — team news & stats
- US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn
- Etzella Ettelbruck v F91 Dudelange — match page
- Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport
Before and after this match
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UNA Strassen | 75.7% | 1.32 | -0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | UNA Strassen win | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wiltz | 8.1% |
| Draw | 16.3% | |
| UNA Strassen | 75.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% |
| No | 49.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 24.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 91.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | UNA Strassen win | 51.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 26.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.9% |
| 0-3 | 9.7% | |
| 1-2 | 9.3% |
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen stats
Wiltz and UNA Strassen recent form
| Wiltz |
LLLLLL |
| UNA Strassen |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wiltz and UNA Strassen going into this match
Wiltz record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
UNA Strassen record
- They have won 8 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Wiltz wins
2Draws
5UNA Strassen wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-16 | UNA Strassen | Wiltz | National Division | 3-0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Wiltz | UNA Strassen | National Division | 0-3 |
| 2024-04-07 | UNA Strassen | Wiltz | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Wiltz | UNA Strassen | National Division | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-29 | Wiltz | UNA Strassen | National Division | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-09 | UNA Strassen | Wiltz | National Division | 4-3 |
| 2022-04-16 | Wiltz | UNA Strassen | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2021-11-07 | UNA Strassen | Wiltz | National Division | 3-2 |
| 2021-05-12 | Wiltz | UNA Strassen | National Division | 2-0 |
| 2021-02-24 | UNA Strassen | Wiltz | National Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.7%, draw 15.8%, away 76.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 12.60 | 5.80 | 1.17 |
| Bet365 | 9.00 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 9.25 | 5.60 | 1.22 |
| Betfair | 13.00 | 6.50 | 1.14 |
| Dafabet | 12.00 | 6.40 | 1.20 |
| Marathonbet | 11.75 | 5.80 | 1.16 |
| Pinnacle | 6.79 | 6.16 | 1.27 |
| William Hill | 12.00 | 5.00 | 1.20 |