Wiltz
vs
UNA Strassen
Garuda Lions Prediction: UNA Strassen
0 – 2 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wiltz vs UNA Strassen
| Probability | Wiltz | Draw | UNA Strassen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9.2% | 17.5% | 73.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 9.2% | 17.5% | 73.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why UNA Strassen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen match preview
In the upcoming match between Wiltz and UNA Strassen, the probabilities indicate a strong advantage for UNA Strassen, with a 73% likelihood of victory compared to Wiltz's 9%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 0-2, occurring with a 12% probability. Both teams have contrasting recent forms, as Wiltz has lost their last six matches, while UNA Strassen has won their last six.
The expected goals further highlight the disparity, with Wiltz at 0.78 and UNA Strassen at 2.45. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams are expected to score with a 50% probability. Overall, this matchup presents a significant challenge for Wiltz against a confident UNA Strassen side.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wiltz and UNA Strassen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.23
Wiltz and UNA Strassen attack and defence ratings
Wiltz
UNA Strassen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UNA Strassen | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | UNA Strassen win | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wiltz | 9.2% |
| Draw | 17.5% | |
| UNA Strassen | 73.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% |
| No | 49.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 26.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | UNA Strassen win | 51.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 26.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.9% |
| 0-3 | 9.7% | |
| 1-2 | 9.3% |
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen stats
Wiltz and UNA Strassen recent form
| Wiltz |
LLLLLL |
| UNA Strassen |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wiltz and UNA Strassen season so far
Wiltz record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
UNA Strassen record
- They have won 7 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.