Etzella Ettelbruck
vs
F91 Dudelange
Garuda Lions Prediction: Etzella Ettelbruck
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Etzella Ettelbruck vs F91 Dudelange overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Etzella Ettelbruck vs F91 Dudelange
| Probability | Etzella Ettelbruck | Draw | F91 Dudelange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.5% | 27.7% | 34.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.5% | 27.7% | 34.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Etzella Ettelbruck vs F91 Dudelange match preview
Etzella Ettelbruck hosts F91 Dudelange in a National Division clash on October 11, 2026. The model assigns a 37% probability of a home win for Etzella, while F91 Dudelange has a 35% chance of victory, and a draw stands at 28%. The expected goals for Etzella is 1.42, slightly higher than Dudelange's 1.36, suggesting a closely contested match. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Etzella, with a 9% probability.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Etzella recording a D-W-W-L-L-L streak and Dudelange at L-D-L-W-W-L. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are expected to score with a probability of 58%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Etzella Ettelbruck and F91 Dudelange expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
Etzella Ettelbruck and F91 Dudelange attack and defence ratings
Etzella Ettelbruck
F91 Dudelange
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Etzella Ettelbruck vs F91 Dudelange markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 37.5% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| F91 Dudelange | 34.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% |
| No | 42.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Etzella Ettelbruck win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 62.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Etzella Ettelbruck vs F91 Dudelange stats
Etzella Ettelbruck and F91 Dudelange recent form
| Etzella Ettelbruck |
DWWLLL |
| F91 Dudelange |
LDLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Etzella Ettelbruck and F91 Dudelange season so far
Etzella Ettelbruck record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
F91 Dudelange record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.