National Division · Full time ·Matchday 9

US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains

1 – 2 Full time

11′H. Far
45′A. Mendes
81′H. Far
US Rumelange 12%
Draw 18%
US Mondorf-les-bains 70%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains overview

Garuda Lions analysis: US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUS RumelangeDrawUS Mondorf-les-bains
Model12.3%18.2%69.6%
Market———
Final12.3%18.2%69.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why US Mondorf-les-bains

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.52 vs 1.00.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

US Rumelange ↓ / US Mondorf-les → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 8% 9% 1 8% 9% 8% 9% 2 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

US Rumelange and US Mondorf-les-bains expected goals

US Rumelange 1.00
US Mondorf-les-bains 2.52

Total expected goals: 3.52

US Rumelange and US Mondorf-les-bains attack and defence ratings

US Rumelange

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.67 +67%

US Mondorf-les-bains

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains: result vs prediction

US Rumelange 1 – 2 US Mondorf-les-bains

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

National Division

Before and after this match

US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 US Mondorf-les-bains 69.6% 1.44 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.2% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.9% 1.70 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 87.7% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 US Mondorf-les-bains win 48.5% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2US Rumelange12.3%
Draw18.2%
US Mondorf-les-bains69.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.2%
Under 2.531.8%
Both teams to scoreYes58.9%
No41.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)30.4%
12 (either side)81.8%
X2 (draw or away)87.7%
Handicap -1US Mondorf-les-bains win48.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss30.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-29.4%
0-29.4%
1-18.2%

US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains stats

US Rumelange and US Mondorf-les-bains recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

US Rumelange and US Mondorf-les-bains going into this match

league record before kick-off

US Rumelange record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

US Mondorf-les-bains record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3US Rumelange wins 2Draws 3US Mondorf-les-bains wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2019-04-20US RumelangeUS Mondorf-les-bainsNational Division1-3
2018-10-21US Mondorf-les-bainsUS RumelangeNational Division4-3
2017-05-21US RumelangeUS Mondorf-les-bainsNational Division5-2
2016-08-07US Mondorf-les-bainsUS RumelangeNational Division0-0
2016-05-22US RumelangeUS Mondorf-les-bainsNational Division0-2
2015-08-02US Mondorf-les-bainsUS RumelangeNational Division0-3
2015-03-22US RumelangeUS Mondorf-les-bainsNational Division1-1
2014-09-14US Mondorf-les-bainsUS RumelangeNational Division0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.