National Division · Full time ·Matchday 8

Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains

2 – 1 Full time

17′J. Kumbi
45′M. Majouga
54′S. Fettahi
Résidence Walferdange 27%
Draw 26%
US Mondorf-les-bains 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRésidence WalferdangeDrawUS Mondorf-les-bains
Model38.4%27.2%34.4%
Market23.1%25.0%52.0%
Final26.9%25.5%47.6%
Edge+15.3%+2.3%-17.6%

Confidence: Low

Why US Mondorf-les-bains

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Résidence Walf ↓ / US Mondorf-les → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Résidence Walferdange and US Mondorf-les-bains expected goals

Résidence Walferdange 1.48
US Mondorf-les-bains 1.39

Total expected goals: 2.87

Résidence Walferdange and US Mondorf-les-bains attack and defence ratings

Résidence Walferdange

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.89 -11%

US Mondorf-les-bains

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains: result vs prediction

Résidence Walferdange 2 – 1 US Mondorf-les-bains

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

National Division

Before and after this match

Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 US Mondorf-les-bains 47.6% 2.10 -17.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.7% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.2% 1.69 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.6% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Résidence Walferdange26.9%
Draw25.5%
US Mondorf-les-bains47.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.7%
Under 2.545.3%
Both teams to scoreYes59.2%
No40.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.4%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)73.1%
Handicap -1US Mondorf-les-bains win16.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.1%
Loss65.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
2-18.6%
1-28.1%

Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains stats

Résidence Walferdange and US Mondorf-les-bains recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Résidence Walferdange and US Mondorf-les-bains going into this match

league record before kick-off

Résidence Walferdange record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

US Mondorf-les-bains record

  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Résidence Walferdange wins 0Draws 0US Mondorf-les-bains wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-26Résidence WalferdangeUS Mondorf-les-bainsFriendlies Clubs2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.1%, draw 25.0%, away 52.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.96 3.54 1.74
Bet365 3.60 3.75 1.73
Betano 3.85 3.60 1.75
Betfair 4.00 3.80 1.70
Marathonbet 3.88 3.58 1.71
Pinnacle 4.07 3.75 1.72
William Hill 3.90 3.40 1.73

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.90 ▼ -1.24
X 3.60 ▼ -0.67
2 1.73 ▲ +0.29

3 snapshots recorded, from .