National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
FC Differdange 03
vs
Swift Hesperange
3 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | B. Mfoumou | ||
| 29′ | E. Benedict | ||
| 59′ | J. Bedouret |
FC Differdange 03
88%
Draw
9%
Swift Hesperange
3%
FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange
| Probability | FC Differdange 03 | Draw | Swift Hesperange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 87.4% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Market | 88.8% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Final | 88.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Edge | -1.4% | +0.9% | +0.5% |
Why FC Differdange 03
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.17 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
72%
No goals
3%
FC Differdange 03 and Swift Hesperange expected goals
FC Differdange 03
3.17
Swift Hesperange
0.53
Total expected goals: 3.71
FC Differdange 03 and Swift Hesperange attack and defence ratings
FC Differdange 03
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
0.67 -33%
Swift Hesperange
Attack
0.56 -44%
Defence
1.79 +79%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange: result vs prediction
FC Differdange 03 3 – 0 Swift Hesperange
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- F91 Dudelange vs UN Kaerjeng 97
- Progres Niederkorn v Racing FC Union Luxembourg — match page
- AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Hostert
- UNA Strassen v US Rumelange — match page
- Victoria Rosport vs Etzella Ettelbruck — team news & stats
- Atert Bissen vs Wiltz
- Résidence Walferdange v US Mondorf-les-bains — match page
Before and after this match
FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 88.4% | 1.13 | -1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 97.3% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 88.4% |
| Draw | 8.9% | |
| Swift Hesperange | 2.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.0% |
| No | 60.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 97.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 91.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 11.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win | 71.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 12.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 13.1% |
| 2-0 | 12.4% | |
| 4-0 | 10.4% |
FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange stats
FC Differdange 03 and Swift Hesperange recent form
| FC Differdange 03 |
LWWWWW |
| Swift Hesperange |
LLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Differdange 03 and Swift Hesperange going into this match
FC Differdange 03 record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Swift Hesperange record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They average 0.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 7 matches.
FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5FC Differdange 03 wins
2Draws
3Swift Hesperange wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Swift Hesperange | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 1-5 |
| 2025-10-19 | FC Differdange 03 | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Swift Hesperange | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-22 | FC Differdange 03 | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-20 | FC Differdange 03 | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-05 | Swift Hesperange | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-12 | FC Differdange 03 | Swift Hesperange | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2023-03-29 | Swift Hesperange | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 4-0 |
| 2022-10-09 | FC Differdange 03 | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 1-2 |
| 2022-02-27 | Swift Hesperange | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 88.8%, draw 8.7%, away 2.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.00 | 10.50 | 36.00 |
| Betano | 1.06 | 8.50 | 19.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.00 | 10.50 | 36.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.03 | 10.90 | 14.57 |
| William Hill | 1.03 | 15.00 | 51.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.03 —
X
10.50 ▼ -1.50
2
36.00 ▼ -6.16
2 snapshots recorded, from .