National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Progres Niederkorn
vs
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0 – 0 Full time
Progres Niederkorn
38%
Draw
26%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
36%
Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
| Probability | Progres Niederkorn | Draw | Racing FC Union Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.5% | 23.3% | 46.1% |
| Market | 40.7% | 27.2% | 32.1% |
| Final | 38.2% | 26.2% | 35.6% |
| Edge | -10.2% | -3.8% | +14.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
70%
No goals
4%
Progres Niederkorn and Racing FC Union Luxembourg expected goals
Progres Niederkorn
1.61
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.99
Total expected goals: 3.60
Progres Niederkorn and Racing FC Union Luxembourg attack and defence ratings
Progres Niederkorn
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
0.85 -15%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Attack
1.66 +66%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg: result vs prediction
Progres Niederkorn 0 – 0 Racing FC Union Luxembourg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- F91 Dudelange vs UN Kaerjeng 97
- FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange — team news & stats
- AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Hostert
- UNA Strassen v US Rumelange — match page
- Victoria Rosport vs Etzella Ettelbruck — team news & stats
- Atert Bissen vs Wiltz
- Résidence Walferdange v US Mondorf-les-bains — match page
Before and after this match
Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Progres Niederkorn | 38.2% | 2.62 | -10.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Progres Niederkorn | 38.2% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 35.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% |
| No | 30.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Progres Niederkorn win | 15.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.5% | |
| Loss | 69.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 7.0% |
Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg stats
Progres Niederkorn and Racing FC Union Luxembourg recent form
| Progres Niederkorn |
WWLLWW |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg |
WWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Progres Niederkorn and Racing FC Union Luxembourg going into this match
Progres Niederkorn record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 4.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Progres Niederkorn wins
5Draws
2Racing FC Union Luxembourg wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Progres Niederkorn | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-03-29 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 1-3 |
| 2024-10-30 | Progres Niederkorn | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-14 | Progres Niederkorn | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division | 2-1 |
| 2023-10-22 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 3-3 |
| 2023-04-02 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 1-2 |
| 2022-10-16 | Progres Niederkorn | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division | 0-0 |
| 2022-03-19 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 3-3 |
| 2021-09-26 | Progres Niederkorn | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.7%, draw 27.2%, away 32.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.25 | 2.86 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.62 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.25 | 2.79 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.34 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.20 ▼ -0.13
X
3.30 ▼ -0.10
2
2.79 ▲ +0.14
3 snapshots recorded, from .