National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
US Hostert
vs
Progres Niederkorn
0 – 2 Full time
| 4′ | W. Amadi | ||
| 15′ | C. Kitenge | ||
| 88′ | A. Rodriguez |
US Hostert
26%
Draw
26%
Progres Niederkorn
48%
US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn
| Probability | US Hostert | Draw | Progres Niederkorn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.3% | 28.9% | 37.8% |
| Market | 23.7% | 24.7% | 51.5% |
| Final | 26.1% | 25.8% | 48.1% |
| Edge | +2.4% | +1.1% | -3.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
48%
No goals
9%
US Hostert and Progres Niederkorn expected goals
US Hostert
1.25
Progres Niederkorn
1.34
Total expected goals: 2.59
US Hostert and Progres Niederkorn attack and defence ratings
US Hostert
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Progres Niederkorn
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
0.77 -23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn: result vs prediction
US Hostert 0 – 2 Progres Niederkorn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange — team news & stats
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Atert Bissen
- US Rumelange v US Mondorf-les-bains — match page
- UN Kaerjeng 97 vs AS Jeunesse Esch — team news & stats
- Etzella Ettelbruck v F91 Dudelange — match page
- Wiltz vs UNA Strassen — team news & stats
- Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport
Before and after this match
US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Progres Niederkorn | 48.1% | 2.08 | -3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Hostert | 26.1% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Progres Niederkorn | 48.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Progres Niederkorn win | 17.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 62.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 8.8% | |
| 0-0 | 8.8% |
US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn stats
US Hostert and Progres Niederkorn recent form
| US Hostert |
DDWLWW |
| Progres Niederkorn |
DWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
US Hostert and Progres Niederkorn going into this match
US Hostert record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Progres Niederkorn record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1US Hostert wins
1Draws
8Progres Niederkorn wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | US Hostert | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 1-5 |
| 2025-10-01 | Progres Niederkorn | US Hostert | National Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | US Hostert | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 1-3 |
| 2024-11-24 | Progres Niederkorn | US Hostert | National Division | 3-2 |
| 2023-03-29 | Progres Niederkorn | US Hostert | National Division | 6-0 |
| 2022-10-09 | US Hostert | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 1-0 |
| 2022-03-06 | US Hostert | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 0-4 |
| 2021-09-17 | Progres Niederkorn | US Hostert | National Division | 3-1 |
| 2021-05-08 | US Hostert | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 0-3 |
| 2021-02-21 | Progres Niederkorn | US Hostert | National Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.7%, draw 24.7%, away 51.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.79 | 3.65 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 3.80 | 3.45 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 4.00 | 3.70 | 1.82 |
| Marathonbet | 3.70 | 3.65 | 1.73 |
| Pinnacle | 3.95 | 3.63 | 1.78 |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 3.30 | 1.75 |