National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Progres Niederkorn
vs
UN Kaerjeng 97
1 – 2 Full time
Progres Niederkorn
45%
Draw
25%
UN Kaerjeng 97
31%
Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97
| Probability | Progres Niederkorn | Draw | UN Kaerjeng 97 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.5% | 25.0% | 35.5% |
| Market | 46.6% | 24.6% | 28.8% |
| Final | 44.8% | 24.7% | 30.5% |
| Edge | -7.1% | +0.4% | +6.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
5%
Progres Niederkorn and UN Kaerjeng 97 expected goals
Progres Niederkorn
1.70
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.61
Total expected goals: 3.31
Progres Niederkorn and UN Kaerjeng 97 attack and defence ratings
Progres Niederkorn
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
0.70 -30%
UN Kaerjeng 97
Attack
1.62 +62%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97: result vs prediction
Progres Niederkorn 1 – 2 UN Kaerjeng 97
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- F91 Dudelange v Swift Hesperange — match page
- AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck
- UNA Strassen v Racing FC Union Luxembourg — match page
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz — team news & stats
- Victoria Rosport vs FC Differdange 03
- Atert Bissen v US Hostert — match page
- Résidence Walferdange vs US Rumelange — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Progres Niederkorn | 44.8% | 2.23 | -7.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Progres Niederkorn | 44.8% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| UN Kaerjeng 97 | 30.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% |
| No | 33.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Progres Niederkorn win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 60.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97 stats
Progres Niederkorn and UN Kaerjeng 97 recent form
| Progres Niederkorn |
WDWWLL |
| UN Kaerjeng 97 |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Progres Niederkorn and UN Kaerjeng 97 going into this match
Progres Niederkorn record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
UN Kaerjeng 97 record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97 head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Progres Niederkorn wins
2Draws
3UN Kaerjeng 97 wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Progres Niederkorn | UN Kaerjeng 97 | Friendlies Clubs | 0-3 |
| 2026-03-22 | Progres Niederkorn | UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-28 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 3-4 |
| 2024-04-28 | Progres Niederkorn | UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-12 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-19 | Progres Niederkorn | UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-30 | Progres Niederkorn | UN Kaerjeng 97 | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-21 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2017-03-05 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 2-4 |
| 2016-09-12 | Progres Niederkorn | UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 24.6%, away 28.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.62 | 3.16 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.62 | 3.08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.82 | 2.81 |