National Division Β· Β·Matchday 10

F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange

Garuda Lions Prediction: F91 Dudelange

2 – 0 Predicted score Β· 11% model probability

Stade Jos Nosbaum, Dudelange

F91 Dudelange 79%
Draw 14%
Swift Hesperange 7%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance F91 Dudelange wins
79%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
50%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
11% of simulated outcomes

F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange overview

Garuda Lions analysis: F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityF91 DudelangeDrawSwift Hesperange
Model79.1%14.2%6.7%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final79.1%14.2%6.7%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why F91 Dudelange

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 0.74.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange match preview

F91 Dudelange is heavily favored in their upcoming match against Swift Hesperange, with a 79% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Dudelange stand at 2.78, while Swift Hesperange is projected to score only 0.74. Recent form further supports this prediction, as Dudelange has recorded two wins in their last three matches, while Swift Hesperange has lost six consecutive games.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 in favor of F91 Dudelange, which aligns with a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. Additionally, there is a 50% chance that both teams will score. In their last two encounters, Dudelange has won both matches against Hesperange without conceding.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

F91 Dudelange ↓ / Swift Hesperan β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 2 11% 8% 3 11% 8% 4+ 14% 11%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

F91 Dudelange and Swift Hesperange expected goals

F91 Dudelange 2.78
Swift Hesperange 0.74

Total expected goals: 3.53

F91 Dudelange and Swift Hesperange attack and defence ratings

F91 Dudelange

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Swift Hesperange

Attack 0.47 -53%
Defence 1.79 +79%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

National Division

Before and after this match

F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 F91 Dudelange 79.1% 1.26 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.4% 1.46 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 50.2% 1.99 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 93.3% 1.07 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 F91 Dudelange win 59.6% 1.68 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2F91 Dudelange79.1%
Draw14.2%
Swift Hesperange6.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.4%
Under 2.531.6%
Both teams to scoreYes49.8%
No50.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)93.3%
12 (either side)85.8%
X2 (draw or away)20.9%
Handicap -1F91 Dudelange win59.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss20.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.4%
3-010.6%
2-18.5%

F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange stats

F91 Dudelange and Swift Hesperange recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

F91 Dudelange and Swift Hesperange season so far

league record

F91 Dudelange record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Swift Hesperange record

  • They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 9 matches.

F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6F91 Dudelange wins 0Draws 4Swift Hesperange wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26Swift HesperangeF91 DudelangeNational Division0-3
2025-11-02F91 DudelangeSwift HesperangeNational Division3-1
2025-05-03Swift HesperangeF91 DudelangeNational Division0-4
2024-11-23F91 DudelangeSwift HesperangeNational Division4-3
2024-04-28Swift HesperangeF91 DudelangeNational Division2-1
2023-11-12F91 DudelangeSwift HesperangeNational Division1-0
2023-04-16Swift HesperangeF91 DudelangeNational Division4-3
2022-11-06F91 DudelangeSwift HesperangeNational Division0-4
2022-05-01F91 DudelangeSwift HesperangeNational Division1-0
2021-11-28Swift HesperangeF91 DudelangeNational Division1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 F91 Dudelange Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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