FC Differdange 03
vs
F91 Dudelange
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Differdange 03
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 1.19.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Differdange 03 is the favourite, not a value bet.
FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange
| Probability | FC Differdange 03 | Draw | F91 Dudelange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.5% | 17.1% | 13.4% |
| Market | 68.9% | 19.1% | 12.0% |
| Final | 69.1% | 18.6% | 12.3% |
| Edge | +0.1% | -0.5% | +0.4% |
Why FC Differdange 03
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.1% per unit staked (our 69.1% × 1.36 − 1).
FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange match preview
FC Differdange 03 enters this match against F91 Dudelange with strong recent form, having won their last six matches. Their expected goals stand at 2.76, suggesting a potent attack, while F91 Dudelange's expected goals are significantly lower at 1.19. The model predicts a most likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of FC Differdange 03, with a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance that both teams will score.
In their last ten encounters, FC Differdange 03 has dominated with five wins and four draws compared to F91 Dudelange's single victory. The 1X2 probabilities indicate a strong likelihood of a home win for FC Differdange 03 at 69%, while the draw is at 19% and F91 Dudelange at 12%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Differdange 03 and F91 Dudelange expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.95
FC Differdange 03 and F91 Dudelange attack and defence ratings
FC Differdange 03
F91 Dudelange
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 69.1% | 1.45 | +0.1% | 1.36 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 69.1% |
| Draw | 18.6% | |
| F91 Dudelange | 12.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% |
| No | 34.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win | 49.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 30.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.7% |
| 3-1 | 8.0% | |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange stats
FC Differdange 03 and F91 Dudelange recent form
| FC Differdange 03 |
WWWWWW |
| F91 Dudelange |
WWLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Differdange 03 and F91 Dudelange season so far
FC Differdange 03 record
- They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
F91 Dudelange record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | FC Differdange 03 | F91 Dudelange | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-22 | F91 Dudelange | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | FC Differdange 03 | F91 Dudelange | National Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-28 | FC Differdange 03 | F91 Dudelange | Cup | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-15 | F91 Dudelange | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-18 | FC Differdange 03 | F91 Dudelange | National Division | 3-0 |
| 2024-03-16 | FC Differdange 03 | F91 Dudelange | National Division | 2-0 |
| 2023-10-28 | F91 Dudelange | FC Differdange 03 | Cup | 0-2 |
| 2023-09-23 | F91 Dudelange | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 2-2 |
| 2023-04-02 | FC Differdange 03 | F91 Dudelange | National Division | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.9%, draw 19.1%, away 12.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.30 | 4.70 | 8.05 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
| Betano | 1.36 | 4.50 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 4.70 | 7.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32 | 5.00 | 7.57 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.40 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .