AS Jeunesse Esch
vs
FC Differdange 03
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Differdange 03
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.90 vs 1.15.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03
| Probability | AS Jeunesse Esch | Draw | FC Differdange 03 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11.7% | 15.8% | 72.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 11.7% | 15.8% | 72.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Differdange 03
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.90 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 match preview
AS Jeunesse Esch faces a challenging match against FC Differdange 03, with the model indicating a 12% probability of a home win and a 73% chance for the visitors to secure victory. The expected goals for AS Jeunesse Esch stand at 1.15, while FC Differdange 03 is projected to score 2.90. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability.
Recent form shows AS Jeunesse Esch with a mixed record of W-L-D-L-W-W, while FC Differdange 03 is on a strong run of six consecutive wins. The model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 77% and a 65% chance that both teams will score, reflecting an expectation of an engaging match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AS Jeunesse Esch and FC Differdange 03 expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.05
AS Jeunesse Esch and FC Differdange 03 attack and defence ratings
AS Jeunesse Esch
FC Differdange 03
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange
- US Rumelange v Racing FC Union Luxembourg — match page
- UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97
- US Mondorf-les-bains v US Hostert — match page
- Atert Bissen vs Etzella Ettelbruck — team news & stats
- Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz
Before and after this match
AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 11.7% |
| Draw | 15.8% | |
| FC Differdange 03 | 72.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% |
| No | 34.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 27.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win | 53.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 27.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.4% |
| 1-3 | 8.1% | |
| 0-2 | 7.3% |
AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 stats
AS Jeunesse Esch and FC Differdange 03 recent form
| AS Jeunesse Esch |
WLDLWW |
| FC Differdange 03 |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AS Jeunesse Esch and FC Differdange 03 season so far
AS Jeunesse Esch record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
FC Differdange 03 record
- They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | FC Differdange 03 | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-01 | AS Jeunesse Esch | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.