US Rumelange
vs
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1 – 3 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.26 vs 1.25.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
US Rumelange vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: US Rumelange vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
| Probability | US Rumelange | Draw | Racing FC Union Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.5% | 13.8% | 75.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 10.5% | 13.8% | 75.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Racing FC Union Luxembourg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.26 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
US Rumelange vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg match preview
US Rumelange faces Racing FC Union Luxembourg in the National Division with a significant disparity in expectations. According to our model, US Rumelange has a 10% chance of winning, while Racing FC Union Luxembourg stands at 76%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-3 in favor of Racing FC, with an expected goals tally of 1.25 for US Rumelange and 3.26 for Racing FC Union Luxembourg.
Recent form highlights the struggles of US Rumelange, who have recorded six consecutive matches without a win, while Racing FC Union Luxembourg has shown more resilience with two wins and three draws in their last six outings. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 83%, and both teams scoring is predicted at 69%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
US Rumelange and Racing FC Union Luxembourg expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.50
US Rumelange and Racing FC Union Luxembourg attack and defence ratings
US Rumelange
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport — team news & stats
- AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 — team news & stats
- Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange
- UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97
- US Mondorf-les-bains v US Hostert — match page
- Atert Bissen vs Etzella Ettelbruck — team news & stats
- Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz
Before and after this match
US Rumelange vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg win | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Rumelange | 10.5% |
| Draw | 13.8% | |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 75.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.0% |
| No | 31.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 24.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg win | 58.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 24.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 7.9% |
| 1-2 | 7.3% | |
| 1-4 | 6.5% |
US Rumelange vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg stats
US Rumelange and Racing FC Union Luxembourg recent form
| US Rumelange |
DLLLLL |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg |
DDDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
US Rumelange and Racing FC Union Luxembourg season so far
US Rumelange record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.