Wiltz
vs
US Rumelange
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wiltz
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.98.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Wiltz vs US Rumelange overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wiltz vs US Rumelange
| Probability | Wiltz | Draw | US Rumelange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.2% | 21.1% | 33.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.2% | 21.1% | 33.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Wiltz
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.98.
Wiltz vs US Rumelange match preview
Wiltz faces US Rumelange in a National Division clash, with the model giving Wiltz a 45% chance of winning, while US Rumelange has a 34% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Wiltz, with an 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 78% likelihood that both teams will score. The expected goals for Wiltz are 2.28, while US Rumelange is forecasted at 1.98.
Both teams are struggling with recent form; Wiltz has lost their last six matches, while US Rumelange has drawn once and lost five of their last six. In their last six encounters, Wiltz has not secured a win, recording two draws and four losses against US Rumelange. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wiltz and US Rumelange expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.26
Wiltz and US Rumelange attack and defence ratings
Wiltz
US Rumelange
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange
- US Hostert v UNA Strassen — match page
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Before and after this match
Wiltz vs US Rumelange markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wiltz | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wiltz | 45.2% |
| Draw | 21.1% | |
| US Rumelange | 33.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.0% |
| No | 22.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wiltz win | 27.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.3% |
| 2-2 | 7.2% | |
| 1-1 | 7.0% |
Wiltz vs US Rumelange stats
Wiltz and US Rumelange recent form
| Wiltz |
LLLLLL |
| US Rumelange |
DLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wiltz and US Rumelange season so far
Wiltz record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
US Rumelange record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Wiltz vs US Rumelange head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-02-21 | Wiltz | US Rumelange | National Division | 0-1 |
| 2015-08-09 | US Rumelange | Wiltz | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2015-03-08 | US Rumelange | Wiltz | National Division | 4-0 |
| 2014-08-22 | Wiltz | US Rumelange | National Division | 0-1 |
| 2014-03-09 | Wiltz | US Rumelange | National Division | 4-4 |
| 2013-08-18 | US Rumelange | Wiltz | National Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.