Victoria Rosport
vs
Résidence Walferdange
Garuda Lions Prediction: Victoria Rosport
2 – 1 Predicted score · 6% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Victoria Rosport is the favourite, not a value bet.
Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange
| Probability | Victoria Rosport | Draw | Résidence Walferdange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.1% | 20.2% | 43.7% |
| Market | 42.9% | 25.0% | 32.1% |
| Final | 41.2% | 23.8% | 35.0% |
| Edge | -1.7% | -1.2% | +2.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.21, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.0% per unit staked (our 41.2% × 2.21 − 1).
Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange match preview
Victoria Rosport faces Résidence Walferdange in an upcoming National Division match, with the probabilities indicating a 41% chance of a Victoria Rosport victory, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 35% chance for Résidence Walferdange. The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with Victoria Rosport projected to score 2.19 and Résidence Walferdange slightly higher at 2.40.
Recent form shows Victoria Rosport with a record of L-W-D-L-L-D, while Résidence Walferdange has D-L-W-W-L-W. The most likely scoreline from our model is 2-1 in favor of Victoria Rosport, with an 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and an 81% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Victoria Rosport and Résidence Walferdange expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.59
Victoria Rosport and Résidence Walferdange attack and defence ratings
Victoria Rosport
Résidence Walferdange
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Victoria Rosport | 41.2% | 2.43 | -1.7% | 2.21 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Victoria Rosport | 41.2% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Résidence Walferdange | 35.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81.2% |
| No | 18.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Victoria Rosport win | 20.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.6% | |
| Loss | 63.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.0% |
| 1-2 | 6.4% | |
| 1-1 | 5.9% |
Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange stats
Victoria Rosport and Résidence Walferdange recent form
| Victoria Rosport |
LWDLLD |
| Résidence Walferdange |
DLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Victoria Rosport and Résidence Walferdange season so far
Victoria Rosport record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Résidence Walferdange record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Victoria Rosport | Résidence Walferdange | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.9%, draw 25.0%, away 32.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.77 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.75 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.21 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 3.60 | 2.73 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 3.72 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .