Résidence Walferdange
vs
Wiltz
Garuda Lions Prediction: Résidence Walferdange
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.96 vs 1.57.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz
| Probability | Résidence Walferdange | Draw | Wiltz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.4% | 17.0% | 17.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 65.4% | 17.0% | 17.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Résidence Walferdange
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.96 vs 1.57.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz match preview
Résidence Walferdange enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 65%, while Wiltz has an 18% chance of victory. Recent form shows Résidence with a mixed record of D-L-W-W-L-W, contrasting sharply with Wiltz, who has lost their last six matches. The expected goals suggest a dominant performance from Résidence, with 2.96 expected goals compared to Wiltz's 1.57.
Our model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1, occurring at a rate of 7%. There is a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 83%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 75%. Given these statistics, Résidence Walferdange appears well-positioned to secure a favorable result in this encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Résidence Walferdange and Wiltz expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.52
Résidence Walferdange and Wiltz attack and defence ratings
Résidence Walferdange
Wiltz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport — team news & stats
- AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 — team news & stats
- Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange
- US Rumelange v Racing FC Union Luxembourg — match page
- UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97
- US Mondorf-les-bains v US Hostert — match page
- Atert Bissen vs Etzella Ettelbruck — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Résidence Walferdange | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Résidence Walferdange win | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Résidence Walferdange | 65.4% |
| Draw | 17.0% | |
| Wiltz | 17.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.5% |
| No | 24.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Résidence Walferdange win | 46.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 34.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.4% |
| 3-1 | 7.3% | |
| 2-2 | 5.8% |
Résidence Walferdange vs Wiltz stats
Résidence Walferdange and Wiltz recent form
| Résidence Walferdange |
DLWWLW |
| Wiltz |
LLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Résidence Walferdange and Wiltz season so far
Résidence Walferdange record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Wiltz record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.