US Mondorf-les-bains
vs
US Hostert
Garuda Lions Prediction: US Mondorf-les-bains
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 1.13.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Hostert overview
Garuda Lions analysis: US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Hostert
| Probability | US Mondorf-les-bains | Draw | US Hostert |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.7% | 21.2% | 17.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.7% | 21.2% | 17.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why US Mondorf-les-bains
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Hostert match preview
US Mondorf-les-bains enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 62%, while US Hostert has a 17% chance of victory, according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1, with an expected goals metric showing US Mondorf-les-bains at 2.24 and US Hostert at 1.13. Recent form indicates that US Mondorf-les-bains has won three of their last six matches, while US Hostert has struggled, recording only one win in their last six outings.
In terms of goal-scoring potential, there is a 65% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are expected to score in 61% of scenarios. The head-to-head record from the last two encounters shows each team with one win, indicating a competitive matchup ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
US Mondorf-les-bains and US Hostert expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.37
US Mondorf-les-bains and US Hostert attack and defence ratings
US Mondorf-les-bains
US Hostert
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Hostert markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | US Mondorf-les-bains win | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 61.7% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| US Hostert | 17.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% |
| No | 38.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | US Mondorf-les-bains win | 40.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 38.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 8.7% |
US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Hostert stats
US Mondorf-les-bains and US Hostert recent form
| US Mondorf-les-bains |
WWLLWW |
| US Hostert |
LLDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
US Mondorf-les-bains and US Hostert season so far
US Mondorf-les-bains record
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
US Hostert record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Hostert head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | US Mondorf-les-bains | US Hostert | National Division | 4-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | US Hostert | US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.