Racing FC Union Luxembourg
vs
US Mondorf-les-bains
Garuda Lions Prediction: Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.53.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Racing FC Union Luxembourg is the favourite, not a value bet.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains
| Probability | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | Draw | US Mondorf-les-bains |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.9% | 24.0% | 30.1% |
| Market | 40.0% | 26.6% | 33.4% |
| Final | 41.5% | 25.9% | 32.6% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -0.7% | -0.8% |
Why Racing FC Union Luxembourg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.53.
Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.7% per unit staked (our 41.5% × 2.50 − 1).
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains match preview
Racing FC Union Luxembourg faces US Mondorf-les-bains in a National Division clash, with the home side having a 41% probability of winning compared to 33% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1, with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to an exciting match, as the model indicates a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% likelihood that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Racing FC Union Luxembourg has drawn three times, won twice, and drawn once in their last six matches. In contrast, US Mondorf-les-bains has won four of their last six, including two consecutive victories. The expected goals for Racing FC Union Luxembourg stand at 1.91, while US Mondorf-les-bains is at 1.53, suggesting a competitive encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and US Mondorf-les-bains expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.44
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and US Mondorf-les-bains attack and defence ratings
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
US Mondorf-les-bains
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 41.5% | 2.41 | +1.5% | 2.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 41.5% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 32.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% |
| No | 32.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg win | 26.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 54.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.2% |
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains stats
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and US Mondorf-les-bains recent form
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg |
DDDWWD |
| US Mondorf-les-bains |
WWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and US Mondorf-les-bains season so far
Racing FC Union Luxembourg record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
US Mondorf-les-bains record
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | US Mondorf-les-bains | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-14 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-16 | US Mondorf-les-bains | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-21 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-26 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-06 | US Mondorf-les-bains | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division | 1-3 |
| 2023-04-26 | US Mondorf-les-bains | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-12 | US Mondorf-les-bains | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-13 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-10 | US Mondorf-les-bains | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.0%, draw 26.6%, away 33.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.35 | 2.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.40 | 2.67 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.32 | 3.45 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.35 | 2.68 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.43 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .