US Hostert
vs
UNA Strassen
Garuda Lions Prediction: UNA Strassen
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.74.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — UNA Strassen is the favourite, not a value bet.
US Hostert vs UNA Strassen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: US Hostert vs UNA Strassen
| Probability | US Hostert | Draw | UNA Strassen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.0% | 24.8% | 61.3% |
| Market | 11.2% | 18.5% | 70.3% |
| Final | 11.9% | 20.1% | 68.0% |
| Edge | +0.7% | +1.6% | -2.2% |
Why UNA Strassen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.32, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.2% per unit staked (our 68.0% × 1.32 − 1).
US Hostert vs UNA Strassen match preview
US Hostert faces UNA Strassen in the National Division with a significant disparity in recent form. Hostert's latest results show two losses, two draws, and a win, while Strassen boasts an impressive run of six consecutive wins and a draw. The probabilities indicate a strong likelihood for UNA Strassen to secure the victory, with a 68% chance compared to Hostert's 12%. The expected goals for the match suggest a low-scoring affair for Hostert at 0.74, while Strassen is projected to score 1.78.
Historically, UNA Strassen has had the upper hand in their last ten encounters, winning six times against Hostert's two victories, along with two draws. The most likely scoreline according to the model is 0-1, with a 13% probability. Additionally, there is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
US Hostert and UNA Strassen expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
US Hostert and UNA Strassen attack and defence ratings
US Hostert
UNA Strassen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
US Hostert vs UNA Strassen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UNA Strassen | 68.0% | 1.47 | -2.2% | 1.32 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Hostert | 11.9% |
| Draw | 20.1% | |
| UNA Strassen | 68.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.5% |
| No | 55.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 32.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | UNA Strassen win | 36.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 38.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.3% |
| 0-2 | 12.8% | |
| 1-1 | 11.6% |
US Hostert vs UNA Strassen stats
US Hostert and UNA Strassen recent form
| US Hostert |
LLDDWL |
| UNA Strassen |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
US Hostert and UNA Strassen season so far
US Hostert record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
UNA Strassen record
- They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
US Hostert vs UNA Strassen head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | US Hostert | UNA Strassen | National Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | UNA Strassen | US Hostert | National Division | 4-0 |
| 2025-03-12 | US Hostert | UNA Strassen | Cup | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-02 | US Hostert | UNA Strassen | National Division | 2-2 |
| 2024-09-01 | UNA Strassen | US Hostert | National Division | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-16 | UNA Strassen | US Hostert | National Division | 2-0 |
| 2022-11-06 | US Hostert | UNA Strassen | National Division | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-08 | UNA Strassen | US Hostert | National Division | 4-0 |
| 2021-12-05 | US Hostert | UNA Strassen | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2021-04-21 | US Hostert | UNA Strassen | National Division | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
US Hostert vs UNA Strassen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.2%, draw 18.5%, away 70.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.65 | 4.85 | 1.27 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Betano | 7.40 | 4.60 | 1.32 |
| Betfair | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Dafabet | 8.40 | 5.20 | 1.32 |
| Marathonbet | 8.20 | 4.85 | 1.26 |
| Pinnacle | 8.11 | 5.09 | 1.30 |
| William Hill | 8.00 | 4.50 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .