Swift Hesperange
vs
AS Jeunesse Esch
Garuda Lions Prediction: AS Jeunesse Esch
0 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 0.82.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse Esch overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse Esch
| Probability | Swift Hesperange | Draw | AS Jeunesse Esch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 7.5% | 14.4% | 78.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 7.5% | 14.4% | 78.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why AS Jeunesse Esch
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse Esch match preview
Swift Hesperange faces AS Jeunesse Esch in the National Division with a challenging outlook. According to our model, Swift Hesperange has an 8% probability of winning, while AS Jeunesse Esch stands at 78%. The expected goals for Swift Hesperange is 0.82, in stark contrast to AS Jeunesse Esch's 2.83. Recent form indicates a struggle for Swift Hesperange, who have lost their last six matches, while AS Jeunesse Esch has shown some resilience with two wins in their last three games.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-2, occurring at a 10% probability. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match is estimated at 71%, with a 53% chance that both teams will score. Historically, in their last ten encounters, Swift Hesperange has won six times, while AS Jeunesse Esch has only secured one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Swift Hesperange and AS Jeunesse Esch expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.65
Swift Hesperange and AS Jeunesse Esch attack and defence ratings
Swift Hesperange
AS Jeunesse Esch
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse Esch markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | AS Jeunesse Esch win | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Swift Hesperange | 7.5% |
| Draw | 14.4% | |
| AS Jeunesse Esch | 78.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 21.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 92.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | AS Jeunesse Esch win | 58.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 21.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.4% |
| 0-3 | 9.8% | |
| 1-2 | 8.5% |
Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse Esch stats
Swift Hesperange and AS Jeunesse Esch recent form
| Swift Hesperange |
LLLLLL |
| AS Jeunesse Esch |
WLDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Swift Hesperange and AS Jeunesse Esch season so far
Swift Hesperange record
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 10 matches.
AS Jeunesse Esch record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse Esch head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Swift Hesperange | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-23 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 3-3 |
| 2024-08-24 | Swift Hesperange | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 5-1 |
| 2024-05-05 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-24 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Swift Hesperange | Cup | 0-2 |
| 2023-11-26 | Swift Hesperange | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 2-0 |
| 2023-07-22 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Swift Hesperange | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2023-05-14 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2022-12-10 | Swift Hesperange | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.