AS Jeunesse Esch
vs
Etzella Ettelbruck
Garuda Lions Prediction: AS Jeunesse Esch
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck
| Probability | AS Jeunesse Esch | Draw | Etzella Ettelbruck |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.8% | 23.1% | 24.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.8% | 23.1% | 24.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why AS Jeunesse Esch
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck match preview
AS Jeunesse Esch faces Etzella Ettelbruck in the National Division, with the model giving AS Jeunesse Esch a 48% chance of winning, while Etzella Ettelbruck sits at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of AS Jeunesse Esch, which has a 9% probability. The expected goals for AS Jeunesse Esch are 1.96, compared to 1.46 for Etzella Ettelbruck, suggesting a competitive match.
Both teams have had mixed recent form, with AS Jeunesse Esch recording L-D-L-W-W-L and Etzella Ettelbruck showing L-D-W-W-L-L. The model indicates a 66% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance that both teams will score, highlighting the potential for an engaging encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AS Jeunesse Esch and Etzella Ettelbruck expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
AS Jeunesse Esch and Etzella Ettelbruck attack and defence ratings
AS Jeunesse Esch
Etzella Ettelbruck
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz — team news & stats
- Victoria Rosport vs FC Differdange 03
- Atert Bissen v US Hostert — match page
- Résidence Walferdange vs US Rumelange — team news & stats
Before and after this match
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 52.8% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 24.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.5% |
| No | 34.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | AS Jeunesse Esch win | 31.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 47.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.0% |
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck stats
AS Jeunesse Esch and Etzella Ettelbruck recent form
| AS Jeunesse Esch |
LDLWWL |
| Etzella Ettelbruck |
LDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AS Jeunesse Esch and Etzella Ettelbruck season so far
AS Jeunesse Esch record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Etzella Ettelbruck record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-16 | Etzella Ettelbruck | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 3-0 |
| 2022-11-06 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division | 6-0 |
| 2022-04-03 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division | 5-1 |
| 2021-10-17 | Etzella Ettelbruck | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 2-1 |
| 2021-04-05 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-23 | Etzella Ettelbruck | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2019-10-27 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2019-03-10 | Etzella Ettelbruck | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2018-08-26 | AS Jeunesse Esch | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.