Atert Bissen
vs
Etzella Ettelbruck
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atert Bissen
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 1.06.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Atert Bissen vs Etzella Ettelbruck overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atert Bissen vs Etzella Ettelbruck
| Probability | Atert Bissen | Draw | Etzella Ettelbruck |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.5% | 18.9% | 13.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 67.5% | 18.9% | 13.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Atert Bissen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Atert Bissen vs Etzella Ettelbruck match preview
Atert Bissen enters the match against Etzella Ettelbruck with a strong probability of winning at 68%, while the visitors have a 14% chance of victory, and the draw stands at 19%. The expected goals for Atert Bissen are notably higher at 2.47 compared to Etzella Ettelbruck's 1.06, suggesting a potential advantage in offensive performance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a probability of 9%.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Atert Bissen recording a sequence of W-D-W-W-L-L, while Etzella Ettelbruck has a record of W-L-L-D-L-W. The model indicates a 69% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match and a 61% chance that both teams will score. The overall confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atert Bissen and Etzella Ettelbruck expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.53
Atert Bissen and Etzella Ettelbruck attack and defence ratings
Atert Bissen
Etzella Ettelbruck
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Atert Bissen vs Etzella Ettelbruck markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atert Bissen | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Atert Bissen win | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atert Bissen | 67.5% |
| Draw | 18.9% | |
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 13.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atert Bissen win | 46.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 32.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.5% |
| 2-0 | 8.9% | |
| 1-1 | 8.4% |
Atert Bissen vs Etzella Ettelbruck stats
Atert Bissen and Etzella Ettelbruck recent form
| Atert Bissen |
WDWWLL |
| Etzella Ettelbruck |
WLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atert Bissen and Etzella Ettelbruck season so far
Atert Bissen record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Etzella Ettelbruck record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.