National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Etzella Ettelbruck
vs
FC Differdange 03
1 – 0 Full time
| 13′ | S. Thill |
Etzella Ettelbruck
11%
Draw
19%
FC Differdange 03
70%
Etzella Ettelbruck vs FC Differdange 03 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Etzella Ettelbruck vs FC Differdange 03
| Probability | Etzella Ettelbruck | Draw | FC Differdange 03 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.8% | 19.1% | 70.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 10.8% | 19.1% | 70.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Differdange 03
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Etzella Ettelbruck and FC Differdange 03 expected goals
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.82
FC Differdange 03
2.31
Total expected goals: 3.13
Etzella Ettelbruck and FC Differdange 03 attack and defence ratings
Etzella Ettelbruck
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.26 +26%
FC Differdange 03
Attack
1.32 +32%
Defence
0.66 -34%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Etzella Ettelbruck vs FC Differdange 03: result vs prediction
Etzella Ettelbruck 1 – 0 FC Differdange 03
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- UN Kaerjeng 97 v Victoria Rosport — match page
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs AS Jeunesse Esch — team news & stats
- US Hostert vs F91 Dudelange
- Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn
- US Rumelange v Atert Bissen — match page
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs UNA Strassen — team news & stats
- Swift Hesperange vs Résidence Walferdange — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Etzella Ettelbruck vs FC Differdange 03 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 10.8% |
| Draw | 19.1% | |
| FC Differdange 03 | 70.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 29.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win | 47.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 30.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-1 | 9.2% |
Etzella Ettelbruck vs FC Differdange 03 stats
Etzella Ettelbruck and FC Differdange 03 recent form
| Etzella Ettelbruck |
WLLLLD |
| FC Differdange 03 |
WWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Etzella Ettelbruck and FC Differdange 03 going into this match
Etzella Ettelbruck record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
FC Differdange 03 record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Etzella Ettelbruck vs FC Differdange 03 head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Etzella Ettelbruck wins
0Draws
9FC Differdange 03 wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-26 | FC Differdange 03 | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division | 6-0 |
| 2022-08-28 | Etzella Ettelbruck | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 0-2 |
| 2022-05-15 | Etzella Ettelbruck | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 0-2 |
| 2021-12-12 | FC Differdange 03 | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division | 4-0 |
| 2021-03-28 | Etzella Ettelbruck | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 0-3 |
| 2020-09-19 | FC Differdange 03 | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division | 3-0 |
| 2020-03-08 | Etzella Ettelbruck | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 0-3 |
| 2019-09-01 | FC Differdange 03 | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division | 2-1 |
| 2019-04-14 | FC Differdange 03 | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division | 2-0 |
| 2018-10-06 | Etzella Ettelbruck | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.