National Division · Full time ·Matchday 6

Swift Hesperange vs Etzella Ettelbruck

0 – 3 Full time

35′A. Cvetkovic
52′B. Kovacevic
75′Gustavo

Stade Alphonse Theis, Hesperange

Swift Hesperange 34%
Draw 27%
Etzella Ettelbruck 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Swift Hesperange vs Etzella Ettelbruck overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Swift Hesperange vs Etzella Ettelbruck

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySwift HesperangeDrawEtzella Ettelbruck
Model34.2%26.8%39.0%
Market———
Final34.2%26.8%39.0%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Swift Hesperan ↓ / Etzella Ettelb → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 6% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Swift Hesperange and Etzella Ettelbruck expected goals

Swift Hesperange 1.42
Etzella Ettelbruck 1.53

Total expected goals: 2.95

Swift Hesperange and Etzella Ettelbruck attack and defence ratings

Swift Hesperange

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 1.77 +77%

Etzella Ettelbruck

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 1.44 +44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Swift Hesperange vs Etzella Ettelbruck: result vs prediction

Swift Hesperange 0 – 3 Etzella Ettelbruck

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

National Division

Before and after this match

Swift Hesperange vs Etzella Ettelbruck markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Etzella Ettelbruck 39.0% 2.56 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.6% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.6% 1.65 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.2% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.0% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Swift Hesperange34.2%
Draw26.8%
Etzella Ettelbruck39.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.6%
Under 2.543.4%
Both teams to scoreYes60.6%
No39.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.0%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)65.8%
Handicap -1Etzella Ettelbruck win19.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss61.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
1-28.7%
2-18.1%

Swift Hesperange vs Etzella Ettelbruck stats

Swift Hesperange and Etzella Ettelbruck recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Swift Hesperange and Etzella Ettelbruck going into this match

league record before kick-off

Swift Hesperange record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.

Etzella Ettelbruck record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Swift Hesperange vs Etzella Ettelbruck head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Swift Hesperange wins 2Draws 1Etzella Ettelbruck wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-03-12Swift HesperangeEtzella EttelbruckNational Division2-2
2022-09-10Etzella EttelbruckSwift HesperangeNational Division0-4
2022-02-20Etzella EttelbruckSwift HesperangeNational Division0-2
2021-08-28Swift HesperangeEtzella EttelbruckNational Division5-2
2021-05-12Swift HesperangeEtzella EttelbruckNational Division5-2
2021-02-24Etzella EttelbruckSwift HesperangeNational Division0-0
2014-04-27Etzella EttelbruckSwift HesperangeNational Division2-0
2013-10-27Swift HesperangeEtzella EttelbruckNational Division1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Swift Hesperange vs Etzella Ettelbruck odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.