National Division · Full time ·Matchday 5

Wiltz vs F91 Dudelange

1 – 2 Full time

Stade Am Petz, Wiltz

Wiltz 41%
Draw 25%
F91 Dudelange 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Wiltz vs F91 Dudelange overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wiltz vs F91 Dudelange

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWiltzDrawF91 Dudelange
Model41.4%25.4%33.3%
Market———
Final41.4%25.4%33.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wiltz ↓ / F91 Dudelange → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Wiltz and F91 Dudelange expected goals

Wiltz 1.70
F91 Dudelange 1.51

Total expected goals: 3.20

Wiltz and F91 Dudelange attack and defence ratings

Wiltz

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.19 +19%

F91 Dudelange

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wiltz vs F91 Dudelange: result vs prediction

Wiltz 1 – 2 F91 Dudelange

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

National Division

Before and after this match

Wiltz vs F91 Dudelange markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wiltz 41.4% 2.42 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.1% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.6% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.6% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wiltz41.4%
Draw25.4%
F91 Dudelange33.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.1%
Under 2.537.9%
Both teams to scoreYes64.6%
No35.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.7%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)58.6%
Handicap -1Wiltz win22.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss58.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
2-18.8%
1-27.8%

Wiltz vs F91 Dudelange stats

Wiltz and F91 Dudelange recent form

newest first
Wiltz LLWDD
F91 Dudelange WLLLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Wiltz and F91 Dudelange going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wiltz record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

F91 Dudelange record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Wiltz vs F91 Dudelange head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Wiltz vs F91 Dudelange odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.