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National Division · Full time ·Matchday 4

Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz

4 – 0 Full time

Party-Rent-Arena, Rosport

Victoria Rosport 31%
Draw 24%
Wiltz 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVictoria RosportDrawWiltz
Model16.8%18.2%65.0%
Market36.2%25.6%38.2%
Final31.4%23.8%44.9%
Edge-19.4%-7.4%+26.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Wiltz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.69 vs 1.36.
  • The market prices Wiltz below the model: +26.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Victoria Rospo ↓ / Wiltz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 7% 1 7% 9% 8% 10% 2 6% 5% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Victoria Rosport and Wiltz expected goals

Victoria Rosport 1.36
Wiltz 2.69

Total expected goals: 4.05

Victoria Rosport and Wiltz attack and defence ratings

Victoria Rosport

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.54 +54%

Wiltz

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz: result vs prediction

Victoria Rosport 4 – 0 Wiltz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

National Division

Before and after this match

Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wiltz 44.9% 2.23 +26.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.9% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.0% 1.43 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Wiltz win 45.2% 2.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Victoria Rosport31.4%
Draw23.8%
Wiltz44.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.9%
Under 2.523.1%
Both teams to scoreYes70.0%
No30.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.1%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)68.6%
Handicap -1Wiltz win45.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss35.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.6%
1-37.7%
1-17.0%

Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz stats

Victoria Rosport and Wiltz recent form

newest first
Victoria Rosport LLLLLW
Wiltz LWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Victoria Rosport and Wiltz going into this match

league record before kick-off

Victoria Rosport record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.

Wiltz record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.2%, draw 25.6%, away 38.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 3.55 2.38
1xBet 2.43 3.54 2.39
Bet365 2.75 3.60 2.15
Betano 2.52 3.45 2.37
Betfair 2.60 3.60 2.30
Dafabet 2.60 3.70 2.43
Marathonbet 2.43 3.54 2.39
Pinnacle 2.45 3.70 2.42
Superbet 2.52 3.45 2.37
William Hill 2.45 3.40 2.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.51 ▼ -0.57
X 3.54 ▼ -0.16
2 2.38 ▲ +0.40

2 snapshots recorded, from .