National Division · Full time ·Matchday 5

Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Victoria Rosport

2 – 2 Full time

Stade Achille Hammerel, Luxembourg

Racing FC Union Luxembourg 71%
Draw 15%
Victoria Rosport 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Victoria Rosport overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Victoria Rosport

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRacing FC Union LuxembourgDrawVictoria Rosport
Model70.6%15.1%14.3%
Market———
Final70.6%15.1%14.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Racing FC Union Luxembourg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.23 vs 1.51.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Racing FC Unio ↓ / Victoria Rospo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 7% 3 7% 4+ 9% 13% 10%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 85%
No goals 1%

Racing FC Union Luxembourg and Victoria Rosport expected goals

Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3.23
Victoria Rosport 1.51

Total expected goals: 4.74

Racing FC Union Luxembourg and Victoria Rosport attack and defence ratings

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Victoria Rosport

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Victoria Rosport: result vs prediction

Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2 – 2 Victoria Rosport

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

National Division

Before and after this match

Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Victoria Rosport markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 70.6% 1.42 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 85.2% 1.17 — —
Both teams to score Yes 75.3% 1.33 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.7% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg win 52.8% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Racing FC Union Luxembourg70.6%
Draw15.1%
Victoria Rosport14.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.585.2%
Under 2.514.8%
Both teams to scoreYes75.3%
No24.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.7%
12 (either side)84.9%
X2 (draw or away)29.4%
Handicap -1Racing FC Union Luxembourg win52.8%
Push (exactly one goal)17.8%
Loss29.4%
Correct score (top 3)3-17.4%
2-16.9%
4-16.0%

Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Victoria Rosport stats

Racing FC Union Luxembourg and Victoria Rosport recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Racing FC Union Luxembourg and Victoria Rosport going into this match

league record before kick-off

Racing FC Union Luxembourg record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Victoria Rosport record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.

Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Victoria Rosport head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Racing FC Union Luxembourg wins 0Draws 0Victoria Rosport wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22Victoria RosportRacing FC Union LuxembourgNational Division3-4
2025-09-28Racing FC Union LuxembourgVictoria RosportNational Division1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Victoria Rosport odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.