National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
Etzella Ettelbruck
vs
UN Kaerjeng 97
0 – 1 Full time
Etzella Ettelbruck
31%
Draw
25%
UN Kaerjeng 97
44%
Etzella Ettelbruck vs UN Kaerjeng 97 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Etzella Ettelbruck vs UN Kaerjeng 97
| Probability | Etzella Ettelbruck | Draw | UN Kaerjeng 97 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.1% | 25.0% | 44.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.1% | 25.0% | 44.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why UN Kaerjeng 97
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
Etzella Ettelbruck and UN Kaerjeng 97 expected goals
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.47
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.78
Total expected goals: 3.25
Etzella Ettelbruck and UN Kaerjeng 97 attack and defence ratings
Etzella Ettelbruck
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
1.27 +27%
UN Kaerjeng 97
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.21 +21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Etzella Ettelbruck vs UN Kaerjeng 97: result vs prediction
Etzella Ettelbruck 0 – 1 UN Kaerjeng 97
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Progres Niederkorn v UNA Strassen — match page
- F91 Dudelange vs US Rumelange — team news & stats
- FC Differdange 03 vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
- AS Jeunesse Esch v US Mondorf-les-bains — match page
- Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz — team news & stats
- Swift Hesperange v US Hostert — match page
- Résidence Walferdange vs Atert Bissen — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Etzella Ettelbruck vs UN Kaerjeng 97 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 31.1% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| UN Kaerjeng 97 | 44.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.1% |
| No | 34.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | UN Kaerjeng 97 win | 24.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 56.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
Etzella Ettelbruck vs UN Kaerjeng 97 stats
Etzella Ettelbruck and UN Kaerjeng 97 recent form
| Etzella Ettelbruck |
LLD |
| UN Kaerjeng 97 |
LWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Etzella Ettelbruck and UN Kaerjeng 97 going into this match
Etzella Ettelbruck record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
UN Kaerjeng 97 record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.