Gzira United
vs
Valletta FC
0 – 3 Full time
Gzira United vs Valletta FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gzira United vs Valletta FC
| Probability | Gzira United | Draw | Valletta FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.6% | 31.0% | 34.4% |
| Market | 19.8% | 26.7% | 53.5% |
| Final | 23.5% | 27.8% | 48.7% |
| Edge | +14.9% | +4.3% | -19.1% |
Why Valletta FC
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gzira United and Valletta FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.30
Gzira United and Valletta FC attack and defence ratings
Gzira United
Valletta FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gzira United vs Valletta FC: result vs prediction
Gzira United 0 – 3 Valletta FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gzira United vs Valletta FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valletta FC | 48.7% | 2.05 | -19.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gzira United | 23.5% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Valletta FC | 48.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.1% |
| No | 51.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Valletta FC win | 14.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 65.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.3% | |
| 1-0 | 10.2% |
Gzira United vs Valletta FC stats
Gzira United and Valletta FC recent form
| Gzira United |
LLDLWL |
| Valletta FC |
WLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gzira United vs Valletta FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Valletta FC | Gzira United | Malta Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Gzira United | Valletta FC | Malta Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-28 | Valletta FC | Gzira United | Malta Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gzira United vs Valletta FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.8%, draw 26.7%, away 53.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.60 | 3.30 | 1.70 |
| 1xBet | 4.74 | 3.40 | 1.68 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.40 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.40 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 4.60 | 3.35 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 3.40 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 3.45 | 1.72 |
| Marathonbet | 4.65 | 3.40 | 1.66 |
| Pinnacle | 4.59 | 3.34 | 1.70 |
| SBO | 4.22 | 3.13 | 1.60 |
| Superbet | 4.55 | 3.45 | 1.72 |
| Unibet | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.68 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.20 | 1.73 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .