Peru Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 6

Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas

3 – 0 Full time

Estadio Monumental, LimaReferee: Daniel Ureta, Peru

Universitario 70%
Draw 19%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUniversitarioDrawClub Deportivo Los Chankas
Model63.5%23.1%13.4%
Market71.9%18.0%10.1%
Final69.8%19.3%10.9%
Edge-8.4%+5.1%+3.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Universitario

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 0.78.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Universitario ↓ / Club Deportivo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Universitario and Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected goals

Universitario 1.93
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0.78

Total expected goals: 2.71

Universitario and Club Deportivo Los Chankas attack and defence ratings

Universitario

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: result vs prediction

Universitario 3 – 0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 6 fixtures

Peru Primera División

Before and after this match

Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Universitario 69.8% 1.43 -8.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.9% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score No 52.7% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.1% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Universitario win 39.3% 2.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Universitario69.8%
Draw19.3%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas10.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.9%
Under 2.549.1%
Both teams to scoreYes47.3%
No52.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.1%
12 (either side)80.7%
X2 (draw or away)30.2%
Handicap -1Universitario win39.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss36.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.4%
1-011.8%
1-111.0%

Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas stats

Universitario and Club Deportivo Los Chankas recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Universitario and Club Deportivo Los Chankas going into this match

league record before kick-off

Universitario record

  • They have won 13 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas record

  • They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.

Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Universitario wins 1Draws 2Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08Club Deportivo Los ChankasUniversitarioPeru Primera División3-1
2025-11-22Club Deportivo Los ChankasUniversitarioPeru Primera División3-1
2025-07-12UniversitarioClub Deportivo Los ChankasPeru Primera División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 71.7%, draw 18.1%, away 10.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.30 5.10 9.80
1xBet 1.30 5.15 9.35
888Sport 1.33 4.75 8.50
Bet365 1.28 5.25 8.50
BetVictor 1.29 5.00 9.50
Betano 1.34 5.60 10.00
Betfair 1.25 5.00 9.50
Dafabet 1.33 5.40 9.00
Marathonbet 1.28 5.15 9.40
Pinnacle 1.29 5.22 8.91
SBO 1.29 4.45 7.05
Superbet 1.31 5.10 7.80
Unibet 1.25 5.50 10.50
William Hill 1.30 4.80 9.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.29 ▼ -0.01
X 5.15 ▲ +0.15
2 9.18 ▲ +0.28

4 snapshots recorded, from .