Sport Boys
vs
Cienciano
5 – 1 Full time
Sport Boys vs Cienciano overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sport Boys vs Cienciano
| Probability | Sport Boys | Draw | Cienciano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.1% | 33.3% | 21.6% |
| Market | 43.0% | 28.9% | 28.0% |
| Final | 43.6% | 30.0% | 26.4% |
| Edge | +2.1% | +4.4% | -6.5% |
Why Sport Boys
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.17 vs 0.73.
- The market prices Sport Boys below the model: +2.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sport Boys and Cienciano expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.89
Sport Boys and Cienciano attack and defence ratings
Sport Boys
Cienciano
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sport Boys vs Cienciano: result vs prediction
Sport Boys 5 – 1 Cienciano
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Sport Boys vs Cienciano markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sport Boys | 43.6% | 2.30 | +2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sport Boys | 43.6% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Cienciano | 26.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.8% |
| No | 63.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sport Boys win | 20.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 54.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.3% |
| 1-0 | 16.3% | |
| 1-1 | 14.0% |
Sport Boys vs Cienciano stats
Sport Boys and Cienciano recent form
| Sport Boys |
DDWWLW |
| Cienciano |
LDWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sport Boys and Cienciano going into this match
Sport Boys record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cienciano record
- They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Sport Boys vs Cienciano head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Cienciano | Sport Boys | Peru Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Cienciano | Sport Boys | Peru Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-19 | Sport Boys | Cienciano | Peru Primera División | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sport Boys vs Cienciano odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 28.8%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.06 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.18 | 3.34 |
| 888Sport | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.19 | 3.35 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 3.18 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.20 | 3.28 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 2.97 | 2.94 |
| Superbet | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Unibet | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.45 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .