Peru Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 7
Cienciano
vs
Cusco
1 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | Iván Colman | ||
| 10′ | L. Colitto | ||
| 46′ | C. NunezA. Yovera | ||
| 47′ | C. Garces | ||
| 59′ | S. D. Arias Fierro | ||
| 73′ | C. MontanoO. Valenzuela | ||
| 73′ | F. CallejoJ. Manzaneda | ||
| 73′ | N. SilvaJ. Tevez | ||
| 78′ | Oswaldo Valenzuela | ||
| 81′ | L. ColittoC. Diez | ||
| 84′ | Oswaldo Valenzuela | ||
| 84′ | Oswaldo Valenzuela | ||
| 86′ | A. RoblesG. Aguirre | ||
| 86′ | G. BarretoR. Sandoval | ||
| 90′ | Santiago Arias |
Cienciano
46%
Draw
26%
Cusco
28%
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 256 | Accurate passes | 244 |
Cienciano vs Cusco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cienciano vs Cusco
| Probability | Cienciano | Draw | Cusco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.1% | 23.1% | 24.8% |
| Market | 44.0% | 27.2% | 28.9% |
| Final | 46.0% | 26.1% | 27.9% |
| Edge | +8.1% | -4.1% | -4.0% |
Why Cienciano
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.39.
- The market prices Cienciano below the model: +8.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
Cienciano and Cusco expected goals
Cienciano
2.06
Cusco
1.39
Total expected goals: 3.45
Cienciano and Cusco attack and defence ratings
Cienciano
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Cusco
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cienciano vs Cusco: result vs prediction
Cienciano 1 – 2 Cusco
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
- Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca — team news & stats
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II College
- UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario — team news & stats
- Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso
- UCV Moquegua v Alianza Atletico — match page
- ADT vs Sport Huancayo — team news & stats
- Sport Boys v Sporting Cristal — match page
- Atletico Grau v FBC Melgar — match page
Before and after this match
Cienciano vs Cusco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cienciano | 46.0% | 2.17 | +8.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cienciano | 46.0% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Cusco | 27.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% |
| No | 33.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cienciano win | 31.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 48.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 6.7% |
Cienciano vs Cusco stats
Cienciano and Cusco recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cienciano and Cusco going into this match
Cienciano record
- They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Cusco record
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
Cienciano vs Cusco head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Cienciano wins
4Draws
3Cusco wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Cusco | Cienciano | Copa De La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-15 | Cusco | Cienciano | Peru Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Cienciano | Cusco | Peru Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-06-14 | Cusco | Cienciano | Peru Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Cienciano | Cusco | Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-27 | Cusco | Cienciano | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2023-07-16 | Cusco | Cienciano | Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2023-02-11 | Cienciano | Cusco | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2021-08-27 | Cusco | Cienciano | Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2021-03-20 | Cusco | Cienciano | Primera División | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cienciano vs Cusco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.0%, draw 27.2%, away 28.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.12 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.38 | 3.25 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.55 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.38 | 3.24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.22 |
| SBO | 2.04 | 3.17 | 2.90 |
| Superbet | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Unibet | 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.10 ▲ +0.20
X
3.40 ▼ -0.10
2
3.20 ▼ -0.47
11 snapshots recorded, from .