Peru Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 8
FC Cajamarca
vs
Cienciano
2 – 5 Full time
| 4′ | B. Palacios | ||
| 19′ | M. Arrasco | ||
| 21′ | C. Cabello | ||
| 36′ | R. Sandoval | ||
| 40′ | N. Bandiera | ||
| 46′ | S. EncisoA. Gutierrez | ||
| 46′ | R. SuarezC. Gomez | ||
| 46′ | M. RasmussenJ. Lugo | ||
| 46′ | H. CaparoC. Nunez | ||
| 46′ | R. SandovalC. Souza Espana | ||
| 59′ | M. SuccarC. Garces | ||
| 62′ | Jefferson Orejuela | ||
| 64′ | Gerson Barreto | ||
| 66′ | C. CabelloR. Salazar | ||
| 74′ | C. Souza Espana | ||
| 75′ | B. PalaciosC. Meza | ||
| 83′ | N. BandieraS. Cavero | ||
| 84′ | C. Garces |
FC Cajamarca
38%
Draw
25%
Cienciano
37%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 0 |
| 263 | Accurate passes | 192 |
FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano
| Probability | FC Cajamarca | Draw | Cienciano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.6% | 20.2% | 21.2% |
| Market | 31.3% | 27.1% | 41.7% |
| Final | 38.1% | 25.4% | 36.6% |
| Edge | +27.3% | -6.8% | -20.5% |
Why FC Cajamarca
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 1.46.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Cajamarca below the model: +27.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
3%
FC Cajamarca and Cienciano expected goals
FC Cajamarca
2.45
Cienciano
1.46
Total expected goals: 3.91
FC Cajamarca and Cienciano attack and defence ratings
FC Cajamarca
Attack
1.28 +28%
Defence
1.36 +36%
Cienciano
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano: result vs prediction
FC Cajamarca 2 – 5 Cienciano
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 8 fixtures
- Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca
- Sport Huancayo v Sport Boys — match page
- Cusco vs UCV Moquegua — team news & stats
- Universitario vs Comerciantes Unidos
- Sporting Cristal v Club Deportivo Los Chankas — match page
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau — team news & stats
- Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima
- FBC Melgar v ADT — match page
Before and after this match
FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Cajamarca | 38.1% | 2.63 | +27.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Cajamarca | 38.1% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Cienciano | 36.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.8% |
| No | 29.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Cajamarca win | 38.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 41.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 7.9% | |
| 3-1 | 7.2% |
FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano stats
FC Cajamarca and Cienciano recent form
| FC Cajamarca |
WLLWLL |
| Cienciano |
LLLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Cajamarca and Cienciano going into this match
FC Cajamarca record
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 7 penalties (43%).
Cienciano record
- They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0FC Cajamarca wins
0Draws
1Cienciano wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Cienciano | FC Cajamarca | Peru Primera División | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.3%, draw 27.1%, away 41.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.96 | 3.55 | 2.22 |
| 1xBet | 2.99 | 3.42 | 2.24 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.35 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.10 | 3.55 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.96 | 3.42 | 2.23 |
| Pinnacle | 2.94 | 3.44 | 2.24 |
| SBO | 2.71 | 3.15 | 2.06 |
| Superbet | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Unibet | 3.15 | 3.50 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.96 ▼ -0.09
X
3.42 ▲ +0.02
2
2.22 —
10 snapshots recorded, from .