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CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Full time ·Quarter-finals

Atletico Torque vs Cienciano

2 – 0 Full time

28′Cristian Souza
33′Carlos Cabello
34′Carlos CabelloClaudio Nuñez
42′Mariano Bogliacino
64′Claudio Nuñez
67′Carlos Garcés
76′Franco PizzichilloDiogo Guzmán
80′Cristian SouzaMatias Succar
83′Alejandro HohbergJuan Romagnoli
89′Salomón RodríguezAlexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero
90′E. ObregónLucas Duré

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, CuscoReferee: W. Sampaio

Atletico Torque 63%
Draw 22%
Cienciano 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 31
1 Shots on target 12
35 Possession % 65
4 Corners 9
8 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
8 Saves 1
141 Accurate passes 318

Atletico Torque vs Cienciano overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Torque vs Cienciano

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico TorqueDrawCienciano
Model71.0%15.8%13.1%
Market60.3%23.7%16.0%
Final63.0%21.7%15.3%
Edge+10.7%-7.9%-2.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Atletico Torque

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.99 vs 1.30.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Atletico Torque below the model: +10.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Torqu ↓ / Cienciano → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 8% 3 8% 4+ 10% 12% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Atletico Torque and Cienciano expected goals

Atletico Torque 2.99
Cienciano 1.30

Total expected goals: 4.29

Atletico Torque and Cienciano attack and defence ratings

Atletico Torque

Attack 1.64 +64%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Cienciano

Attack 1.45 +45%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Torque vs Cienciano: result vs prediction

Atletico Torque 2 – 0 Cienciano

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Quarter-finals fixtures

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Before and after this match

Atletico Torque vs Cienciano markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atletico Torque 63.0% 1.59 +10.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.2% 1.25 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.7% 1.44 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.7% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Atletico Torque win 52.3% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Torque63.0%
Draw21.7%
Cienciano15.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.2%
Under 2.519.8%
Both teams to scoreYes69.7%
No30.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.7%
12 (either side)78.3%
X2 (draw or away)37.0%
Handicap -1Atletico Torque win52.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss29.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.0%
3-17.9%
2-06.1%

Atletico Torque vs Cienciano stats

Atletico Torque and Cienciano recent form

newest first
Atletico Torque WWWWWW
Cienciano WLLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Torque and Cienciano going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atletico Torque record

  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cienciano record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico Torque vs Cienciano head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Atletico Torque vs Cienciano odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.9%, draw 23.7%, away 16.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.61 3.75 5.50
1xBet 1.63 4.18 5.98
888Sport 1.57 3.80 5.00
Bet365 1.57 3.75 6.50
BetVictor 1.55 4.00 6.00
Betano 1.62 3.95 6.30
Betfair 1.53 4.00 5.50
Dafabet 1.60 4.10 5.80
Marathonbet 1.55 3.98 5.70
Pinnacle 1.59 4.01 5.87
SBO 1.50 3.68 5.32
Superbet 1.59 4.00 5.65
Unibet 1.57 3.80 5.80
William Hill 1.57 3.80 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.57 ▼ -0.13
X 3.99 ▲ +0.25
2 5.93 ▲ +0.73

34 snapshots recorded, from .