Vasco DA Gama
vs
Santa Fe
2 – 0 Full time
| 6′ | Emanuel Olivera | ||
| 37′ | Bruno Duarte Da Silva | ||
| 40′ | Emerson RodriguezMaximiliano Lovera | ||
| 62′ | Jader ObrianNahuel Bustos | ||
| 62′ | Daniel TorresKilian Toscano | ||
| 62′ | Bruno Duarte Da SilvaDavid | ||
| 63′ | AdsonNuno Moreira | ||
| 63′ | Marino HinestrozaAndrés Gómez | ||
| 63′ | Ramon Rique Santos De Souza BarrosThiago Mendes | ||
| 65′ | David | ||
| 82′ | Jhojan TorresAlexis Zapata | ||
| 83′ | Santiago SosaLucas Freitas |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 366 | Accurate passes | 319 |
Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe
| Probability | Vasco DA Gama | Draw | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.4% | 34.8% | 26.8% |
| Market | 65.2% | 22.1% | 12.7% |
| Final | 58.5% | 25.3% | 16.2% |
| Edge | -26.8% | +12.7% | +14.1% |
Why Vasco DA Gama
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vasco DA Gama and Santa Fe expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.84
Vasco DA Gama and Santa Fe attack and defence ratings
Vasco DA Gama
Santa Fe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe: result vs prediction
Vasco DA Gama 2 – 0 Santa Fe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Quarter-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasco DA Gama | 58.5% | 1.71 | -26.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasco DA Gama | 58.5% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Santa Fe | 16.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.1% |
| No | 62.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vasco DA Gama win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 61.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.2% |
| 1-0 | 15.0% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe stats
Vasco DA Gama and Santa Fe recent form
| Vasco DA Gama |
WDLWWW |
| Santa Fe |
WDDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vasco DA Gama and Santa Fe going into this match
Vasco DA Gama record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Santa Fe record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Santa Fe | Vasco DA Gama | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.2%, draw 22.4%, away 13.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 4.47 | 7.75 |
| 888Sport | 1.50 | 3.75 | 6.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.20 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.52 | 4.45 | 7.20 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.10 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.50 | 4.30 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 4.25 | 7.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 4.38 | 7.50 |
| SBO | 1.43 | 3.76 | 6.09 |
| Unibet | 1.49 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .