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Uruguay Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 6

Atletico Torque vs Liverpool Montevideo

3 – 1 Full time

8′B. Gutierrez
17′R. MachadoT. Brizuela
21′F. Martinez
26′T. Brizuela
33′N. Da Silva
45′A. Cayetano
46′K. Lewis
48′N. Da Silva
51′J. Taran
54′R. LecchiniK. Silva
55′L. AcostaD. Romero
55′K. LewisR. M. Degregorio
59′T. Brizuela
66′N. PerezP. Siles
71′F. MartinezD. Zabala
71′E. CastilloF. Barcelo
79′S. ZampieriE. Aguero
79′S. CaceresF. Pizzichillo
90′P. Siles
90′L. Dure
90′K. Silva
90′R. Bentancourt
90′B. Gutierrez

Estadio Centenario, MontevideoReferee: E. Ostojich

Atletico Torque 31%
Draw 29%
Liverpool Montevideo 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atletico Torque vs Liverpool Montevideo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Torque vs Liverpool Montevideo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico TorqueDrawLiverpool Montevideo
Model35.9%31.9%32.2%
Market29.3%28.5%42.2%
Final30.9%29.4%39.7%
Edge+6.6%+3.4%-10.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Torqu ↓ / Liverpool Mont → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 11% 1 11% 15% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Atletico Torque and Liverpool Montevideo expected goals

Atletico Torque 1.13
Liverpool Montevideo 1.06

Total expected goals: 2.19

Atletico Torque and Liverpool Montevideo attack and defence ratings

Atletico Torque

Attack 1.63 +63%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Liverpool Montevideo

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.53 -47%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Torque vs Liverpool Montevideo: result vs prediction

Atletico Torque 3 – 1 Liverpool Montevideo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 6 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Before and after this match

Atletico Torque vs Liverpool Montevideo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Liverpool Montevideo 39.7% 2.52 -10.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.7% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score No 54.5% 1.83 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.6% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.8% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Torque30.9%
Draw29.4%
Liverpool Montevideo39.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.3%
Under 2.562.7%
Both teams to scoreYes45.5%
No54.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.3%
12 (either side)70.6%
X2 (draw or away)69.1%
Handicap -1Liverpool Montevideo win13.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss67.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-012.6%
1-011.4%

Atletico Torque vs Liverpool Montevideo stats

Atletico Torque and Liverpool Montevideo recent form

newest first
Atletico Torque WWWWWW
Liverpool Montevideo WDWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Torque and Liverpool Montevideo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atletico Torque record

  • They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Liverpool Montevideo record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico Torque vs Liverpool Montevideo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Atletico Torque wins 2Draws 7Liverpool Montevideo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-16Liverpool MontevideoAtletico TorqueUruguay Primera División0-0
2025-09-07Atletico TorqueLiverpool MontevideoPrimera División - Clausura1-1
2025-03-15Liverpool MontevideoAtletico TorqueUruguay Primera División4-1
2023-10-23Atletico TorqueLiverpool MontevideoPrimera División - Clausura2-3
2023-03-18Liverpool MontevideoAtletico TorquePrimera División - Apertura1-0
2022-09-19Atletico TorqueLiverpool MontevideoPrimera División - Clausura0-2
2022-07-14Atletico TorqueLiverpool MontevideoPrimera División - Apertura2-3
2022-04-16Liverpool MontevideoAtletico TorquePrimera División - Apertura2-0
2021-11-13Liverpool MontevideoAtletico TorquePrimera División - Clausura1-3
2021-08-01Atletico TorqueLiverpool MontevideoPrimera División - Apertura0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atletico Torque vs Liverpool Montevideo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.4%, draw 28.6%, away 42.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.25 3.35 2.90
1xBet 3.16 3.18 2.13
888Sport 2.30 3.10 2.88
Bet365 3.10 3.10 2.15
BetVictor 3.13 3.25 2.15
Betano 3.10 3.15 2.18
Betfair 3.10 3.30 2.05
Marathonbet 3.10 3.18 2.11
Pinnacle 3.24 3.48 2.21
SBO 2.84 2.99 2.06
Unibet 2.30 3.35 2.95
William Hill 3.10 3.20 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.10 ▲ +0.97
X 3.18 —
2 2.15 ▼ -0.98

16 snapshots recorded, from .