Garuda Lions
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Uruguay Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo

0 – 0 Full time

25′F. Alvarez
28′S. Strasorier
38′I. Manzur
45′J. Bosca
46′I. ManzurT. Habib
58′J. BoscaG. Cotugno
58′F. GonzalezJ. Varela
61′T. BrizuelaR. M. Degregorio
72′E. Da SilvaBrazionis
74′J. Varela
75′L. AcostaG. de Mello
75′R. BentancourtF. Barcelo
82′S. Da Silva
84′S. Da SilvaN. Sosa

Estadio Belvedere, MontevideoReferee: G. Tejera

Liverpool Montevideo 42%
Draw 32%
Racing Montevideo 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLiverpool MontevideoDrawRacing Montevideo
Model44.6%34.1%21.4%
Market41.1%30.6%28.3%
Final42.0%31.5%26.5%
Edge+3.5%+3.4%-6.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Liverpool Montevideo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.13 vs 0.70.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Liverpool Montevideo below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Liverpool Mont ↓ / Racing Montevi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 10% 1 17% 14% 2 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Liverpool Montevideo and Racing Montevideo expected goals

Liverpool Montevideo 1.13
Racing Montevideo 0.70

Total expected goals: 1.82

Liverpool Montevideo and Racing Montevideo attack and defence ratings

Liverpool Montevideo

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Racing Montevideo

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo: result vs prediction

Liverpool Montevideo 0 – 0 Racing Montevideo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Before and after this match

Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Liverpool Montevideo 42.0% 2.38 +3.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.4% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score No 64.8% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.4% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Liverpool Montevideo42.0%
Draw31.5%
Racing Montevideo26.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.6%
Under 2.572.4%
Both teams to scoreYes35.2%
No64.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.5%
12 (either side)68.5%
X2 (draw or away)58.0%
Handicap -1Liverpool Montevideo win19.5%
Push (exactly one goal)25.1%
Loss55.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.4%
1-016.9%
1-113.9%

Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo stats

Liverpool Montevideo and Racing Montevideo recent form

newest first
Liverpool Montevideo LWDWWW
Racing Montevideo WLWDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Liverpool Montevideo and Racing Montevideo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Liverpool Montevideo record

  • They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Racing Montevideo record

  • They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Liverpool Montevideo wins 6Draws 2Racing Montevideo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-22Liverpool MontevideoRacing MontevideoUruguay Primera División0-0
2026-03-21Racing MontevideoLiverpool MontevideoUruguay Primera División1-0
2025-10-11Liverpool MontevideoRacing MontevideoPrimera División - Clausura2-2
2025-04-14Racing MontevideoLiverpool MontevideoUruguay Primera División1-1
2024-08-17Liverpool MontevideoRacing MontevideoPrimera División - Clausura1-1
2024-02-18Racing MontevideoLiverpool MontevideoPrimera División - Apertura2-2
2023-11-19Liverpool MontevideoRacing MontevideoPrimera División - Clausura2-3
2023-06-02Liverpool MontevideoRacing MontevideoPrimera División - Apertura3-2
2023-04-15Racing MontevideoLiverpool MontevideoPrimera División - Apertura1-1
2019-11-07Racing MontevideoLiverpool MontevideoPrimera División - Clausura0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 30.6%, away 28.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.20 2.95 3.20
Bet365 2.20 3.00 3.20
BetVictor 2.25 3.00 3.20
Betano 2.25 2.95 3.15
Betfair 2.20 3.00 3.00
Marathonbet 2.18 2.95 3.12
Pinnacle 2.32 3.13 3.36
SBO 2.14 2.85 3.00
William Hill 2.25 2.90 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.01
X 2.95 ▼ -0.02
2 3.20 ▲ +0.03

8 snapshots recorded, from .