Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 6
Racing Montevideo
vs
Boston River
3 – 2 Full time
| 21′ | S. Da Silva | ||
| 23′ | A. Aguirre | ||
| 25′ | F. Gonzalez | ||
| 26′ | L. Vazquez | ||
| 46′ | R. GadeaT. Habib | ||
| 46′ | F. GonzalezJ. Bosca | ||
| 46′ | F. BonfiglioF. Avenatti | ||
| 46′ | L. VazquezA. Amado | ||
| 46′ | A. AguirreI. Fernandez | ||
| 48′ | R. A. Saravia Salvia | ||
| 65′ | L. Suhr | ||
| 72′ | F. Aristegui | ||
| 77′ | E. Da Silva | ||
| 79′ | S. Da SilvaI. Manzur | ||
| 80′ | F. AristeguiY. Gonzalez | ||
| 90′ | T. Habib | ||
| 90′ | R. A. Saravia Salvia | ||
| 90′ | E. Da SilvaS. Gallo |
Racing Montevideo
46%
Draw
31%
Boston River
23%
Racing Montevideo vs Boston River overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Racing Montevideo vs Boston River
| Probability | Racing Montevideo | Draw | Boston River |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.9% | 36.9% | 18.2% |
| Market | 46.7% | 28.9% | 24.3% |
| Final | 46.3% | 30.9% | 22.8% |
| Edge | -1.8% | +8.0% | -6.1% |
Why Racing Montevideo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.00 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
77%
2+ goals
47%
3+ goals
20%
No goals
23%
Racing Montevideo and Boston River expected goals
Racing Montevideo
1.00
Boston River
0.54
Total expected goals: 1.54
Racing Montevideo and Boston River attack and defence ratings
Racing Montevideo
Attack
0.73 -27%
Defence
0.62 -38%
Boston River
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Racing Montevideo vs Boston River: result vs prediction
Racing Montevideo 3 – 2 Boston River
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Racing Montevideo vs Boston River markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Montevideo | 46.3% | 2.16 | -1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Montevideo | 46.3% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| Boston River | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.5% |
| No | 72.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Montevideo win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.7% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.6% |
| 1-0 | 20.3% | |
| 1-1 | 12.7% |
Racing Montevideo vs Boston River stats
Racing Montevideo and Boston River recent form
| Racing Montevideo |
LWDWDW |
| Boston River |
LDWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Racing Montevideo and Boston River going into this match
Racing Montevideo record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Boston River record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 27 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Racing Montevideo vs Boston River head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Racing Montevideo wins
2Draws
3Boston River wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Racing Montevideo | Boston River | Uruguay Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | Uruguay Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Racing Montevideo | Boston River | Primera División - Clausura | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Racing Montevideo | Boston River | Copa Uruguay | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-23 | Racing Montevideo | Boston River | Uruguay Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | Uruguay Primera División | 1-3 |
| 2024-11-27 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | Primera División - Clausura | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-24 | Racing Montevideo | Boston River | Primera División - Apertura | 1-2 |
| 2023-08-20 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | Primera División - Clausura | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Racing Montevideo vs Boston River odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.5%, draw 29.0%, away 24.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.98 | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.15 | 3.82 |
| 888Sport | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.13 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.15 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.04 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.15 | 3.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.35 | 4.08 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 2.92 | 3.37 |
| Superbet | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Unibet | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.65 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.95 ▼ -0.10
X
3.15 ▲ +0.03
2
3.75 ▲ +0.21
11 snapshots recorded, from .