Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 6
Wanderers
vs
Club Nacional
1 – 1 Full time
| 44′ | A. Garcia | ||
| 55′ | R. MartinezT. Correa | ||
| 62′ | M. Silvera | ||
| 69′ | A. GarciaD. J. Mencia Hernandez | ||
| 69′ | L. ZazpeJ. Luna | ||
| 70′ | R. BottaS. Silva | ||
| 76′ | J. AlbertiS. Ormeno | ||
| 80′ | M. Silvera | ||
| 81′ | T. Correa | ||
| 84′ | F. LabandeiraR. Rivero | ||
| 84′ | N. FurtadoT. Hernandez | ||
| 86′ | M. SilveraA. Martinez | ||
| 86′ | C. CandidoT. Viera | ||
| 90′ | E. Ancheta | ||
| 90′ | S. Benitez |
Wanderers
28%
Draw
27%
Club Nacional
45%
Wanderers vs Club Nacional overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wanderers vs Club Nacional
| Probability | Wanderers | Draw | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.5% | 28.3% | 28.2% |
| Market | 22.7% | 26.7% | 50.5% |
| Final | 27.9% | 27.1% | 44.9% |
| Edge | +20.8% | +1.5% | -22.3% |
Why Club Nacional
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
9%
Wanderers and Club Nacional expected goals
Wanderers
1.48
Club Nacional
1.14
Total expected goals: 2.62
Wanderers and Club Nacional attack and defence ratings
Wanderers
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Club Nacional
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wanderers vs Club Nacional: result vs prediction
Wanderers 1 – 1 Club Nacional
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 6 fixtures
- Racing Montevideo v Boston River — match page
- Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol — team news & stats
- Progreso vs Cerro
- Juventud v Danubio — match page
- Defensor Sporting v Deportivo Maldonado — match page
- Penarol vs Albion FC — team news & stats
- Atletico Torque vs Liverpool Montevideo — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Wanderers vs Club Nacional markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Nacional | 44.9% | 2.23 | -22.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wanderers | 27.9% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Club Nacional | 44.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Nacional win | 11.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.4% | |
| Loss | 71.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 9.5% | |
| 2-1 | 9.1% |
Wanderers vs Club Nacional stats
Wanderers and Club Nacional recent form
| Wanderers |
LWLDWL |
| Club Nacional |
DWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wanderers and Club Nacional going into this match
Wanderers record
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Nacional record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wanderers vs Club Nacional head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Wanderers wins
2Draws
7Club Nacional wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Club Nacional | Wanderers | Uruguay Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-13 | Club Nacional | Wanderers | Uruguay Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Wanderers | Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Club Nacional | Wanderers | Uruguay Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Wanderers | Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura | 0-2 |
| 2024-03-02 | Club Nacional | Wanderers | Primera División - Apertura | 3-0 |
| 2023-11-26 | Club Nacional | Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura | 3-1 |
| 2023-04-24 | Wanderers | Club Nacional | Primera División - Apertura | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-20 | Club Nacional | Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura | 2-0 |
| 2022-03-20 | Wanderers | Club Nacional | Primera División - Apertura | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wanderers vs Club Nacional odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.7%, draw 26.7%, away 50.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.03 | 3.45 | 1.78 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.30 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 3.95 | 3.30 | 1.83 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 3.96 | 3.45 | 1.76 |
| Pinnacle | 4.20 | 3.71 | 1.84 |
| SBO | 3.69 | 3.12 | 1.80 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.40 | 1.83 |