Danubio
vs
Wanderers
1 – 1 Full time
| 39′ | M. Brasil | ||
| 40′ | N. Cabral | ||
| 46′ | M. PeraltaM. Ferreira | ||
| 55′ | L. Cosentino | ||
| 58′ | L. SosaE. Cabrera | ||
| 60′ | E. Cabrera | ||
| 61′ | John KleberI. Costantino | ||
| 65′ | S. FernandezC. Tizon | ||
| 65′ | J. MillanI. Rossi | ||
| 71′ | J. ZeballosG. Freitas | ||
| 71′ | F. LabandeiraJ. Luna | ||
| 74′ | L. CosentinoR. Sanchez | ||
| 78′ | F. FormilianoM. Acosta | ||
| 78′ | L. ZazpeD. J. Mencia Hernandez | ||
| 83′ | M. Ferreira | ||
| 83′ | M. Corujo |
Danubio vs Wanderers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Danubio vs Wanderers
| Probability | Danubio | Draw | Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.5% | 32.1% | 47.5% |
| Market | 42.3% | 29.3% | 28.4% |
| Final | 36.8% | 30.0% | 33.2% |
| Edge | -21.8% | +2.7% | +19.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Danubio and Wanderers expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.99
Danubio and Wanderers attack and defence ratings
Danubio
Wanderers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Danubio vs Wanderers: result vs prediction
Danubio 1 – 1 Wanderers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Danubio vs Wanderers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Danubio | 36.8% | 2.72 | -21.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Danubio | 36.8% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Wanderers | 33.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.4% |
| No | 61.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Danubio win | 6.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.1% | |
| Loss | 79.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.9% |
| 0-0 | 15.0% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Danubio vs Wanderers stats
Danubio and Wanderers recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Danubio and Wanderers going into this match
Danubio record
- They have won 4 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 28 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wanderers record
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Danubio vs Wanderers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Wanderers | Danubio | Uruguay Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Wanderers | Danubio | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Wanderers | Danubio | Primera División - Clausura | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-16 | Danubio | Wanderers | Uruguay Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 | Wanderers | Danubio | Primera División - Clausura | 2-2 |
| 2024-03-24 | Danubio | Wanderers | Primera División - Apertura | 0-2 |
| 2024-03-07 | Wanderers | Danubio | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-29 | Wanderers | Danubio | Primera División - Clausura | 3-0 |
| 2023-06-03 | Wanderers | Danubio | Primera División - Apertura | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-29 | Danubio | Wanderers | Primera División - Apertura | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Danubio vs Wanderers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.3%, draw 29.3%, away 28.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.06 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.06 | 3.12 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.29 | 3.34 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .