Uruguay Primera División · 2026-09-28T23:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Clausura - 8

Wanderers vs Albion FC

2 – 1 Full time

9′			L. Cosentino
16′			T. Moschion
26′			D. J. Mencia Hernandez
38′			L. Cosentino
39′			N. Furtado
46′			B. LlanaM. de los Santos
53′			M. Corujo
57′			D. J. Mencia HernandezL. Zazpe
61′			T. MoschionB. Barcia
64′			J. ZeballosS. Ormeno
64′			F. LabandeiraR. Sanchez
70′			I. ZufiaurreA. Vera
70′			N. Furtado
76′			L. CosentinoJ. Urretaviscaya
76′			S. BenitezG. Freitas
79′			S. CostaN. Neira
79′			J. AlvarezF. Puente
80′			L. Zazpe
84′			F. Puente
87′			F. Ginella
90′			J. Alvarez
90′			J. Urretaviscaya

Referee: H. Heras

Wanderers

45%

Draw

28%

Albion FC

27%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Wanderers vs Albion FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wanderers vs Albion FC

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Wanderers	Draw	Albion FC
Model	59.4%	24.0%	16.6%
Market	40.5%	29.2%	30.4%
Final	45.2%	27.9%	26.9%
Edge	+18.9%	-5.2%	-13.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Wanderers

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.92.
Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
The market prices Wanderers below the model: +18.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

78%

3+ goals

54%

No goals

Wanderers and Albion FC expected goals

Wanderers

1.90

Albion FC

0.92

Total expected goals: 2.82

Wanderers and Albion FC attack and defence ratings

Wanderers

Attack

1.08 +8%

Defence

1.13 +13%

Albion FC

Attack

0.76 -24%

Defence

1.37 +37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wanderers vs Albion FC: result vs prediction

Wanderers 2 – 1 Albion FC

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Progreso vs Racing Montevideo · 2026-09-26
Cerro Largo v Club Nacional — match page · 2026-09-26
Penarol vs Boston River — team news & stats · 2026-09-26
Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado · 2026-09-27
Central Espanol v Liverpool Montevideo — match page · 2026-09-27
Juventud vs Cerro — team news & stats · 2026-09-27
Defensor Sporting vs Danubio · 2026-09-27

Before and after this match

Wanderers, previous: Danubio vs Wanderers prediction
Wanderers, next: Cerro v Wanderers analysis
Albion FC, previous: Albion FC vs Juventud: odds and pick
Albion FC, next: Albion FC v Defensor Sporting analysis

Wanderers vs Albion FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Wanderers	45.2%	2.21	+18.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	53.5%	1.87	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	52.1%	1.92	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	73.1%	1.37	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	40.6%	2.46	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Wanderers	45.2%
	Draw	27.9%
	Albion FC	26.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	53.5%
	Under 2.5	46.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	52.1%
	No	47.9%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	73.1%
	12 (either side)	72.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	54.8%
Handicap -1	Wanderers win	35.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	23.5%
	Loss	40.6%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.5%
	2-0	10.8%
	1-0	10.3%

Wanderers vs Albion FC stats

Wanderers and Albion FC recent form

newest first

Wanderers	DDLWLD
Albion FC	LLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wanderers and Albion FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wanderers record

They have won 12 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Albion FC record

They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wanderers vs Albion FC head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Wanderers wins 4Draws 1Albion FC wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-17	Albion FC	Wanderers	Uruguay Primera División	0-0
2026-03-25	Albion FC	Wanderers	Uruguay Primera División	2-1
2022-08-27	Wanderers	Albion FC	Primera División - Clausura	0-0
2022-06-18	Albion FC	Wanderers	Primera División - Apertura	1-1
2022-03-13	Albion FC	Wanderers	Primera División - Apertura	1-1
2022-01-26	Wanderers	Albion FC	Friendlies Clubs	3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Wanderers vs Albion FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.5%, draw 29.2%, away 30.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.15	3.18	3.06
Bet365	2.30	3.00	2.80
BetVictor	2.25	3.20	3.00
Betano	2.27	3.00	3.05
Betfair	2.20	3.25	3.00
Marathonbet	2.13	3.18	2.99
Pinnacle	2.32	3.12	3.38
SBO	2.06	3.04	2.98
William Hill	2.25	3.00	3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▲ +0.05

X 3.12 ▼ -0.12

2 3.00 ▼ -0.03

12 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-23T08:10:02Z.