Uruguay Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado

0 – 2 Full time

26′G. Di Noia
28′S. Ramirez
35′G. Montes
44′P. Siles
48′C. Tabo
51′F. Tealde
54′F. Silvera
58′P. Siles
58′P. Siles
63′R. Cesar
65′F. SilveraS. Rodriguez
65′G. MontesL. Dure
65′G. KagelmacherS. Zampieri
66′S. RamirezL. Ibanez
66′C. TaboG. Sosa
69′J. Ramos
80′S. CartagenaA. Vila
81′R. CesarC. Mayada
89′F. TealdeJ. Fernandez

Estadio Centenario, MontevideoReferee: Andres Matonte, Uruguay

Atletico Torque 45%
Draw 28%
Deportivo Maldonado 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico TorqueDrawDeportivo Maldonado
Model45.8%28.1%26.1%
Market44.3%27.7%28.0%
Final44.7%27.8%27.5%
Edge+1.4%+0.4%-1.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Atletico Torque

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.09.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Torqu ↓ / Deportivo Mald → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 10% 13% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Atletico Torque and Deportivo Maldonado expected goals

Atletico Torque 1.51
Deportivo Maldonado 1.09

Total expected goals: 2.60

Atletico Torque and Deportivo Maldonado attack and defence ratings

Atletico Torque

Attack 1.65 +65%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Deportivo Maldonado

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado: result vs prediction

Atletico Torque 0 – 2 Deportivo Maldonado

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Before and after this match

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atletico Torque 44.7% 2.24 +1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.9% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.9% 1.89 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.5% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.3% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Torque44.7%
Draw27.8%
Deportivo Maldonado27.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.1%
Under 2.551.9%
Both teams to scoreYes52.9%
No47.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.5%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)55.3%
Handicap -1Atletico Torque win23.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss54.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-010.0%
2-19.2%

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado stats

Atletico Torque and Deportivo Maldonado recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Torque and Deportivo Maldonado going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atletico Torque record

  • They have won 16 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Maldonado record

  • They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Atletico Torque wins 2Draws 6Deportivo Maldonado wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-06Atletico TorqueDeportivo MaldonadoUruguay Primera División2-4
2026-03-24Deportivo MaldonadoAtletico TorqueUruguay Primera División1-0
2024-02-08Atletico TorqueDeportivo MaldonadoCopa Uruguay2-0
2023-11-29Atletico TorqueDeportivo MaldonadoPrimera División - Clausura5-1
2023-04-30Deportivo MaldonadoAtletico TorquePrimera División - Apertura3-2
2022-09-09Atletico TorqueDeportivo MaldonadoPrimera División - Clausura3-3
2022-07-19Deportivo MaldonadoAtletico TorquePrimera División - Apertura1-1
2022-04-04Deportivo MaldonadoAtletico TorquePrimera División - Apertura2-1
2021-10-24Deportivo MaldonadoAtletico TorquePrimera División - Clausura2-1
2021-06-28Atletico TorqueDeportivo MaldonadoPrimera División - Apertura2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 27.7%, away 28.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.03 3.28 3.24
Bet365 2.00 3.10 3.25
BetVictor 2.05 3.30 3.30
Betano 2.07 3.20 3.30
Betfair 2.10 3.30 3.00
Marathonbet 2.01 3.28 3.16
Pinnacle 2.10 3.48 3.42
SBO 2.02 3.09 3.02
William Hill 2.10 3.25 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▼ -0.06
X 3.28 ▲ +0.03
2 3.25 —

8 snapshots recorded, from .