Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 8
Cerro Largo
vs
Club Nacional
0 – 2 Full time
| 19′ | Nicolás Rodríguez | ||
| 31′ | Tiziano Correa | ||
| 43′ | Maximiliano Silvera | ||
| 54′ | Mario GarcíaDiego Daguerre | ||
| 54′ | Alejandro MartínezMaximiliano Gómez | ||
| 54′ | Maximiliano SilveraSantiago Silva | ||
| 57′ | Maximiliano Gómez | ||
| 63′ | Axel PandianiAlfonso de Luca | ||
| 72′ | Nicolás RodríguezCamilo Cándido | ||
| 79′ | Alfonso de Luca | ||
| 79′ | Alexis SegoviaElías de León | ||
| 79′ | Alexis PiegasNicolas Bertochi | ||
| 83′ | Lucas RodríguezBruno Zuculini | ||
| 83′ | Tiziano CorreaRodrigo Martínez | ||
| 90′ | Nicolas Bertochi |
Cerro Largo
25%
Draw
28%
Club Nacional
47%
Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional
| Probability | Cerro Largo | Draw | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.9% | 32.2% | 29.9% |
| Market | 20.1% | 26.6% | 53.3% |
| Final | 24.6% | 28.0% | 47.4% |
| Edge | +17.7% | +5.6% | -23.3% |
Why Club Nacional
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
Cerro Largo and Club Nacional expected goals
Cerro Largo
1.15
Club Nacional
0.99
Total expected goals: 2.14
Cerro Largo and Club Nacional attack and defence ratings
Cerro Largo
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Club Nacional
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional: result vs prediction
Cerro Largo 0 – 2 Club Nacional
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Nacional | 47.4% | 2.11 | -23.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cerro Largo | 24.6% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Club Nacional | 47.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.2% |
| No | 55.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Nacional win | 11.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 70.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 13.1% | |
| 1-0 | 12.2% |
Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional stats
Cerro Largo and Club Nacional recent form
| Cerro Largo |
DLDDDD |
| Club Nacional |
WDDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cerro Largo and Club Nacional going into this match
Cerro Largo record
- They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 29 matches.
Club Nacional record
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
0Cerro Largo wins
3Draws
7Club Nacional wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | Club Nacional | Cerro Largo | Uruguay Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Club Nacional | Cerro Largo | Copa De La Liga Auf | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Club Nacional | Cerro Largo | Primera División - Clausura | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Cerro Largo | Club Nacional | Uruguay Primera División | 0-4 |
| 2024-10-13 | Cerro Largo | Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura | 0-1 |
| 2024-06-23 | Cerro Largo | Club Nacional | Primera División - Apertura | 0-4 |
| 2024-04-06 | Club Nacional | Cerro Largo | Primera División - Apertura | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Cerro Largo | Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura | 2-2 |
| 2023-07-22 | Club Nacional | Cerro Largo | Primera División - Apertura | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-10 | Club Nacional | Cerro Largo | Primera División - Apertura | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.1%, draw 26.6%, away 53.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.56 | 3.44 | 1.68 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.40 | 1.67 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.50 | 1.73 |
| Betano | 4.25 | 3.35 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 3.40 | 1.67 |
| Marathonbet | 4.45 | 3.44 | 1.66 |
| Pinnacle | 4.70 | 3.71 | 1.76 |
| SBO | 4.01 | 3.21 | 1.70 |
| William Hill | 4.50 | 3.40 | 1.75 |