Juventud
vs
Cerro
0 – 0 Full time
| 43′ | Brahian Alemán | ||
| 49′ | Nahuel Arena | ||
| 56′ | Federico Barrandeguy | ||
| 59′ | Alejo CruzAgustín Alaniz | ||
| 59′ | Gastón PereiroMirko Díaz | ||
| 70′ | Leonel RoldánBruno Larregui | ||
| 74′ | Emiliano Rodriguez | ||
| 74′ | Brahian AlemánBruno Morales | ||
| 74′ | Emiliano RodriguezPablo Nongoy | ||
| 83′ | Ramiro PeraltaRodrigo Chagas | ||
| 89′ | Leonardo PaisAgustín Miranda | ||
| 90′ | Rodrigo Chagas |
Juventud vs Cerro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juventud vs Cerro
| Probability | Juventud | Draw | Cerro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.3% | 28.3% | 25.5% |
| Market | 53.2% | 27.3% | 19.5% |
| Final | 51.5% | 27.5% | 21.0% |
| Edge | -7.0% | +1.0% | +6.0% |
Why Juventud
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.06.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Juventud and Cerro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Juventud and Cerro attack and defence ratings
Juventud
Cerro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Juventud vs Cerro: result vs prediction
Juventud 0 – 0 Cerro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Juventud vs Cerro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventud | 51.5% | 1.94 | -7.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventud | 51.5% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Cerro | 21.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventud win | 23.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 53.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 10.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Juventud vs Cerro stats
Juventud and Cerro recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Juventud and Cerro going into this match
Juventud record
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cerro record
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juventud vs Cerro head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | Cerro | Juventud | Uruguay Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Juventud | Cerro | Primera División - Clausura | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Cerro | Juventud | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2022-08-25 | Juventud | Cerro | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2022-05-29 | Cerro | Juventud | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2022-04-09 | Juventud | Cerro | Segunda División | 2-2 |
| 2021-10-28 | Cerro | Juventud | Segunda División | 2-1 |
| 2021-07-14 | Juventud | Cerro | Segunda División | 3-1 |
| 2019-11-22 | Juventud | Cerro | Primera División - Clausura | 4-2 |
| 2019-05-18 | Cerro | Juventud | Primera División - Apertura | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Juventud vs Cerro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.2%, draw 27.3%, away 19.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.36 | 4.61 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.30 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.25 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.30 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.36 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 3.56 | 4.93 |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.16 | 4.17 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .